A Fuzzy Fractional Order Approach to SIDARTHE Epidemic Model for COVID-19

<div>For varying <svg height="9.49473pt" id="M173" style="vertical-align:-0.2063999pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 6.83278 9.49473" width="6.83278pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M499 88L487 113C459 86 422 65 413 65C403 65 403 74 409 98L461 318C487 426 460 448 431 448C408 448 383 441 352 424C305 398 223 344 157 257H155L214 535L361 580V623L223 580L243 674C249 702 249 712 240 712C227 712 170 680 87 673L82 648H117C155 648 162 644 150 590L143 556L54 528V485L133 510L23 -4L30 -12C55 -4 81 3 105 8C113 53 131 150 143 187C199 281 323 387 372 387C390 387 393 369 380 311L328 86C313 19 319 -12 347 -12C379 -12 442 24 499 88Z"></path></g></svg> and <svg height="9.39034pt" id="M174" style="vertical-align:-3.42943pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 6.54569 9.39034" width="6.54569pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M471 401C471 442 455 448 440 448C421 448 389 439 366 424C314 390 233 331 165 242H163L187 345C193 372 197 393 197 409C197 435 189 448 174 448C146 448 80 408 23 349L40 327C64 351 97 373 107 373C115 373 118 366 111 337L29 -4L36 -12C56 -4 83 3 110 9C123 69 136 126 150 172C227 283 336 381 377 381C392 381 396 370 379 298L326 74C290 -77 273 -172 273 -197C273 -219 316 -261 346 -261L353 -246C348 -227 352 -174 374 -66L457 310C467 352 471 381 471 401Z"></path></g></svg> values, the suspected cases is increasing gradually (a) <span class="nowrap"><svg height="13.3897pt" id="M175" style="vertical-align:-4.10137pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 30.9974 13.3897" width="30.9974pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M837 672C829 675 822 674 813 674C710 674 608 541 510 398C475 447 422 480 349 480C260 480 162 415 162 299C162 199 212 133 284 92C229 39 191 15 134 15C91 15 69 45 69 65H71C78 54 95 53 100 53C128 53 143 80 143 101C143 128 121 149 93 149C60 149 31 121 31 77C31 24 74 -15 138 -15C198 -15 255 22 311 79C360 56 416 43 473 39L455 0H552L569 42C612 49 661 63 693 87L684 103C657 88 617 76 581 69C677 301 753 477 846 658L837 672ZM772 638C701 530 628 379 559 227C558 279 547 330 526 371C609 494 688 609 771 638H772ZM536 199C536 191 536 184 535 176L486 67C430 71 380 84 335 105C395 173 451 257 507 344C527 301 536 251 536 199ZM492 372C431 277 369 183 310 119C245 158 203 217 203 301S275 447 349 447C416 447 461 417 492 372Z"></path></g><rect height="0.65243" width="11.1567" x="0" y="2.15301"></rect><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,11.157,3.942)"><path d="M357 391C357 416 325 451 270 451C241 451 179 431 146 400C109 365 97 334 97 307C97 248 143 213 196 180C250 146 261 123 261 101C261 75 237 40 190 40C153 40 110 72 86 109C81 116 68 119 55 112C37 102 24 87 24 66C24 30 85 -12 137 -12C229 -12 331 62 331 140C331 189 304 218 236 260C197 284 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270Z"></path></g></svg>.</span> (b) <span class="nowrap"><svg height="15.3979pt" id="M176" style="vertical-align:-3.2911pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -12.1068 30.9974 15.3979" width="30.9974pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><rect height="0.65243" width="11.1567" x="0" y="-11.4046"></rect><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M837 672C829 675 822 674 813 674C710 674 608 541 510 398C475 447 422 480 349 480C260 480 162 415 162 299C162 199 212 133 284 92C229 39 191 15 134 15C91 15 69 45 69 65H71C78 54 95 53 100 53C128 53 143 80 143 101C143 128 121 149 93 149C60 149 31 121 31 77C31 24 74 -15 138 -15C198 -15 255 22 311 79C360 56 416 43 473 39L455 0H552L569 42C612 49 661 63 693 87L684 103C657 88 617 76 581 69C677 301 753 477 846 658L837 672ZM772 638C701 530 628 379 559 227C558 279 547 330 526 371C609 494 688 609 771 638H772ZM536 199C536 191 536 184 535 176L486 67C430 71 380 84 335 105C395 173 451 257 507 344C527 301 536 251 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Complexity

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Figure 4

Figure 4: A Fuzzy Fractional Order Approach to SIDARTHE Epidemic Model for COVID-19 