A Fuzzy Fractional Order Approach to SIDARTHE Epidemic Model for COVID-19

<div>For varying <svg height="9.49473pt" id="M193" style="vertical-align:-0.2063999pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 6.83278 9.49473" width="6.83278pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M499 88L487 113C459 86 422 65 413 65C403 65 403 74 409 98L461 318C487 426 460 448 431 448C408 448 383 441 352 424C305 398 223 344 157 257H155L214 535L361 580V623L223 580L243 674C249 702 249 712 240 712C227 712 170 680 87 673L82 648H117C155 648 162 644 150 590L143 556L54 528V485L133 510L23 -4L30 -12C55 -4 81 3 105 8C113 53 131 150 143 187C199 281 323 387 372 387C390 387 393 369 380 311L328 86C313 19 319 -12 347 -12C379 -12 442 24 499 88Z"></path></g></svg> and <svg height="9.39034pt" id="M194" style="vertical-align:-3.42943pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 6.54569 9.39034" width="6.54569pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M471 401C471 442 455 448 440 448C421 448 389 439 366 424C314 390 233 331 165 242H163L187 345C193 372 197 393 197 409C197 435 189 448 174 448C146 448 80 408 23 349L40 327C64 351 97 373 107 373C115 373 118 366 111 337L29 -4L36 -12C56 -4 83 3 110 9C123 69 136 126 150 172C227 283 336 381 377 381C392 381 396 370 379 298L326 74C290 -77 273 -172 273 -197C273 -219 316 -261 346 -261L353 -246C348 -227 352 -174 374 -66L457 310C467 352 471 381 471 401Z"></path></g></svg> values, the life-threatening cases are increasing fastly (a) <span class="nowrap"><svg height="13.194pt" id="M195" style="vertical-align:-3.90567pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 31.8325 13.194" width="31.8325pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M896 662C863 643 826 624 783 624C682 624 539 680 429 680C328 680 253 659 202 616C163 583 138 537 138 484C138 399 208 349 283 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24 66C24 30 85 -12 137 -12C229 -12 331 62 331 140C331 189 304 218 236 260C197 284 164 309 164 346C164 381 194 400 220 400C259 400 282 380 304 350C310 342 321 339 330 344C347 353 357 372 357 391Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,15.97,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,20.468,0)"><path d="M499 88L487 113C459 86 422 65 413 65C403 65 403 74 409 98L461 318C487 426 460 448 431 448C408 448 383 441 352 424C305 398 223 344 157 257H155L214 535L361 580V623L223 580L243 674C249 702 249 712 240 712C227 712 170 680 87 673L82 648H117C155 648 162 644 150 590L143 556L54 528V485L133 510L23 -4L30 -12C55 -4 81 3 105 8C113 53 131 150 143 187C199 281 323 387 372 387C390 387 393 369 380 311L328 86C313 19 319 -12 347 -12C379 -12 442 24 499 88Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,27.176,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z"></path></g></svg>.</span> (b) <span class="nowrap"><svg height="15.4762pt" id="M196" style="vertical-align:-3.291101pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -12.1851 31.8325 15.4762" width="31.8325pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><rect height="0.65243" width="11.9918" x="0" y="-11.4829"></rect><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M896 662C863 643 826 624 783 624C682 624 539 680 429 680C328 680 253 659 202 616C163 583 138 537 138 484C138 399 208 349 283 349C396 349 466 417 492 554L472 555C436 442 385 379 286 379C234 379 179 410 179 491C179 578 257 634 382 634C475 634 622 574 731 574C796 574 862 610 907 647L896 662ZM657 568C577 499 520 440 477 341L463 310C368 277 286 233 247 186L260 171C320 211 380 237 437 256C349 77 281 31 184 31C124 31 83 59 78 94H80C87 83 101 81 109 81C137 81 153 104 153 131S130 180 103 180C68 180 43 154 43 111C43 34 123 0 192 0C335 0 469 75 546 282C599 291 640 293 661 294C653 267 650 244 650 224V206L709 226C706 235 706 245 706 252C706 271 706 289 714 312C758 333 786 368 786 387C786 403 775 409 763 409C744 409 712 391 685 352C644 351 604 345 564 337C595 433 622 506 671 554L657 568Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,11.992,3.132)"><path d="M357 391C357 416 325 451 270 451C241 451 179 431 146 400C109 365 97 334 97 307C97 248 143 213 196 180C250 146 261 123 261 101C261 75 237 40 190 40C153 40 110 72 86 109C81 116 68 119 55 112C37 102 24 87 24 66C24 30 85 -12 137 -12C229 -12 331 62 331 140C331 189 304 218 236 260C197 284 164 309 164 346C164 381 194 400 220 400C259 400 282 380 304 350C310 342 321 339 330 344C347 353 357 372 357 391Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,15.97,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,20.468,0)"><path d="M499 88L487 113C459 86 422 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Complexity

fig9

Figure 9

Figure 9: A Fuzzy Fractional Order Approach to SIDARTHE Epidemic Model for COVID-19 