Research Article

Effective Utilization of Data for Predicting COVID-19 Dynamics: An Exploration through Machine Learning Models

Table 4

RAE values of logistic regression models for fatal cases.

Forecast period (days)Cumulative casesDaily cases
GermanyJapanSouth KoreaUkraineGermanyJapanSouth KoreaUkraine

Train 30.5589830.7482350.1008920.1304310.9829560.9461410.799881.233276
Test 310.01908492.7701953.9926472.1511881.4502373.4230772.10.607143
Train 70.7614420.8585480.1884490.2647921.0109981.0444040.762321.230431
Test 77.1165719.8838062.058692.0567961.5901342.0225061.5106840.964646
Train 140.9393641.0357720.2752280.4100081.0710221.1537970.7608761.234803
Test 146.0734077.7719931.8709071.9486381.8034531.3038511.4315790.887464
Train 210.989171.0668490.2955540.5481561.1451231.2326730.8021451.209536
Test 215.337465.4189421.7350141.8226611.5635131.0454261.4503460.879166
Train 301.0628071.1547890.2957460.6772231.2075091.2196780.845171.22699
Test 305.4730924.0126221.6749631.7262351.503331.2275541.4051580.911704