Research Article
Effective Utilization of Data for Predicting COVID-19 Dynamics: An Exploration through Machine Learning Models
Table 4
RAE values of logistic regression models for fatal cases.
| Forecast period (days) | Cumulative cases | Daily cases | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine |
| Train 3 | 0.558983 | 0.748235 | 0.100892 | 0.130431 | 0.982956 | 0.946141 | 0.79988 | 1.233276 | Test 3 | 10.019084 | 92.770195 | 3.992647 | 2.151188 | 1.450237 | 3.423077 | 2.1 | 0.607143 | Train 7 | 0.761442 | 0.858548 | 0.188449 | 0.264792 | 1.010998 | 1.044404 | 0.76232 | 1.230431 | Test 7 | 7.11657 | 19.883806 | 2.05869 | 2.056796 | 1.590134 | 2.022506 | 1.510684 | 0.964646 | Train 14 | 0.939364 | 1.035772 | 0.275228 | 0.410008 | 1.071022 | 1.153797 | 0.760876 | 1.234803 | Test 14 | 6.073407 | 7.771993 | 1.870907 | 1.948638 | 1.803453 | 1.303851 | 1.431579 | 0.887464 | Train 21 | 0.98917 | 1.066849 | 0.295554 | 0.548156 | 1.145123 | 1.232673 | 0.802145 | 1.209536 | Test 21 | 5.33746 | 5.418942 | 1.735014 | 1.822661 | 1.563513 | 1.045426 | 1.450346 | 0.879166 | Train 30 | 1.062807 | 1.154789 | 0.295746 | 0.677223 | 1.207509 | 1.219678 | 0.84517 | 1.22699 | Test 30 | 5.473092 | 4.012622 | 1.674963 | 1.726235 | 1.50333 | 1.227554 | 1.405158 | 0.911704 |
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