Research Article
Effective Utilization of Data for Predicting COVID-19 Dynamics: An Exploration through Machine Learning Models
Table 7
MAE values of decision tree models for confirmed cases.
| Forecast period (days) | Cumulative cases | Daily cases | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine |
| Train 3 | 118326.82 | 50614.35 | 83292.72 | 14470.19 | 13966.14 | 6129.43 | 12921.25 | 1787.4 | Test 3 | 92206.67 | 373864.33 | 159047.67 | 33767.33 | 15383.67 | 25373 | 32482 | 5467.67 | Train 7 | 210181.83 | 98095.02 | 159424.29 | 31352.4 | 14121.04 | 8610.34 | 14078.32 | 1799.26 | Test 7 | 219605 | 819688.29 | 382687.57 | 94103.43 | 17714.57 | 19880.29 | 25214.43 | 8544.14 | Train 14 | 411432.76 | 176243.54 | 296562.74 | 56438.12 | 18259.02 | 11183.94 | 24367.5 | 2139.05 | Test 14 | 380742.29 | 1557960.64 | 787013.79 | 205029.5 | 16782.86 | 24695.79 | 36543.5 | 8752.71 | Train 21 | 609247.27 | 245358.77 | 431184.05 | 80469.2 | 22295.56 | 12715.18 | 34615.07 | 2389.48 | Test 21 | 527135.24 | 2260445.24 | 1210456.86 | 324242.62 | 18504.93 | 29095.67 | 41458 | 9037.81 | Train 30 | 914462.41 | 345052.67 | 629787.46 | 113795.01 | 22851.02 | 14905.65 | 44442.16 | 3629.26 | Test 30 | 712922.32 | 3288235.39 | 1799969.39 | 482712.19 | 20317.9 | 39667.35 | 41360.94 | 8159.19 |
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