Fitting Time Series Models to Fisheries Data to Ascertain Age

Table 4

Summary statistics for each of the six UCMs.

Models	AIC	MSE	Log likelihood
1	−121.2	0.00626	67.594
2	−91.53	0.01001	49.766
3	−118	0.00649	65.014
4	−123.7	0.00844	67.874
5	−93.53	0.01001	49.766
6	−99.68	0.01277	52.842

Model 4 has the lowest AIC and largest log likelihood. Model 1 has the lowest MSE as shown in bolded text.