Research Article

Mathematical Modeling of Public Opinions: Parameter Estimation, Sensitivity Analysis, and Model Uncertainty Using an Agree-Disagree Opinion Model

Table 2

Data of the first Poll from [14], where the first week is 17/01/2016 with , , and .

DateIndifferentAgreeDisagreeDateIndifferentAgreeDisagreeDateIndifferentAgreeDisagree

24/01/20164.746.948.422/05/20165.848.545.818/09/20165.246.947.8
31/01/20164.446.948.729/05/20164.151.544.425/09/20165.448.945.7
07/02/20163.445.651.105/06/2016449.346.702/10/20164.550.545
14/02/20164.544.950.612/06/20165.448.546.109/10/20164.550.844.7
21/02/20164.445.849.819/06/20164.949.14616/10/20164.349.746
28/02/20165.645.249.226/06/20165.448.246.423/10/20165.249.845
06/03/2016644.849.203/07/20165.449.145.530/10/20164.250.745.1
13/03/20164.645.549.910/07/20166.247.846.106/11/20164.351.344.4
20/03/20164.845.349.917/07/20165.945.348.913/11/20165.250.344.4
27/03/20164.946.448.824/07/2016644.449.720/11/20165.952.141.9
03/04/20164.848.346.931/07/20164.747.447.927/11/20164.953.242
10/04/20164.648.147.307/08/20164.55045.404/12/20164.452.743
17/04/20165.548.945.614/08/20165.147.747.211/12/20165.153.441.5
24/04/20164.446.748.921/08/20166.244.84918/12/20163.355.541.2
01/05/20164.349.646.228/08/20166.545.947.625/12/20164.452.443.2
08/05/20163.746.649.704/09/20165.34945.701/01/20173.751.444.9
15/05/20164.847.747.511/09/20164.248.447.408/01/20173.154.742.2