Research Article
Mathematical Modeling of Public Opinions: Parameter Estimation, Sensitivity Analysis, and Model Uncertainty Using an Agree-Disagree Opinion Model
Table 2
Data of the first Poll from [
14], where the first week is 17/01/2016 with
, , and
.
| | Date | Indifferent | Agree | Disagree | Date | Indifferent | Agree | Disagree | Date | Indifferent | Agree | Disagree |
| | 24/01/2016 | 4.7 | 46.9 | 48.4 | 22/05/2016 | 5.8 | 48.5 | 45.8 | 18/09/2016 | 5.2 | 46.9 | 47.8 | | 31/01/2016 | 4.4 | 46.9 | 48.7 | 29/05/2016 | 4.1 | 51.5 | 44.4 | 25/09/2016 | 5.4 | 48.9 | 45.7 | | 07/02/2016 | 3.4 | 45.6 | 51.1 | 05/06/2016 | 4 | 49.3 | 46.7 | 02/10/2016 | 4.5 | 50.5 | 45 | | 14/02/2016 | 4.5 | 44.9 | 50.6 | 12/06/2016 | 5.4 | 48.5 | 46.1 | 09/10/2016 | 4.5 | 50.8 | 44.7 | | 21/02/2016 | 4.4 | 45.8 | 49.8 | 19/06/2016 | 4.9 | 49.1 | 46 | 16/10/2016 | 4.3 | 49.7 | 46 | | 28/02/2016 | 5.6 | 45.2 | 49.2 | 26/06/2016 | 5.4 | 48.2 | 46.4 | 23/10/2016 | 5.2 | 49.8 | 45 | | 06/03/2016 | 6 | 44.8 | 49.2 | 03/07/2016 | 5.4 | 49.1 | 45.5 | 30/10/2016 | 4.2 | 50.7 | 45.1 | | 13/03/2016 | 4.6 | 45.5 | 49.9 | 10/07/2016 | 6.2 | 47.8 | 46.1 | 06/11/2016 | 4.3 | 51.3 | 44.4 | | 20/03/2016 | 4.8 | 45.3 | 49.9 | 17/07/2016 | 5.9 | 45.3 | 48.9 | 13/11/2016 | 5.2 | 50.3 | 44.4 | | 27/03/2016 | 4.9 | 46.4 | 48.8 | 24/07/2016 | 6 | 44.4 | 49.7 | 20/11/2016 | 5.9 | 52.1 | 41.9 | | 03/04/2016 | 4.8 | 48.3 | 46.9 | 31/07/2016 | 4.7 | 47.4 | 47.9 | 27/11/2016 | 4.9 | 53.2 | 42 | | 10/04/2016 | 4.6 | 48.1 | 47.3 | 07/08/2016 | 4.5 | 50 | 45.4 | 04/12/2016 | 4.4 | 52.7 | 43 | | 17/04/2016 | 5.5 | 48.9 | 45.6 | 14/08/2016 | 5.1 | 47.7 | 47.2 | 11/12/2016 | 5.1 | 53.4 | 41.5 | | 24/04/2016 | 4.4 | 46.7 | 48.9 | 21/08/2016 | 6.2 | 44.8 | 49 | 18/12/2016 | 3.3 | 55.5 | 41.2 | | 01/05/2016 | 4.3 | 49.6 | 46.2 | 28/08/2016 | 6.5 | 45.9 | 47.6 | 25/12/2016 | 4.4 | 52.4 | 43.2 | | 08/05/2016 | 3.7 | 46.6 | 49.7 | 04/09/2016 | 5.3 | 49 | 45.7 | 01/01/2017 | 3.7 | 51.4 | 44.9 | | 15/05/2016 | 4.8 | 47.7 | 47.5 | 11/09/2016 | 4.2 | 48.4 | 47.4 | 08/01/2017 | 3.1 | 54.7 | 42.2 |
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