Research Article

Scenario-Planning Method for Cost Estimation Using Morphological Analysis

Table 9

Absolute error ratio (AER) comparison.

AdaptPrevious model [3]Scenario-complemented model
1-NN5-NN10-NN1-NN5-NN10-NN

Case 14.69%6.99%7.25%0.11%
Case 29.08%6.79%6.58%1.94%
Case 38.91%0.98%1.33%1.77%
Case 44.58%9.87%9.24%2.73%2.10%
Case 54.15%8.01%3.33%0.87%
Case 66.67%1.65%2.05%
Case 740.01%30.01%21.58%32.87%22.87%14.44%
Case 82.13%0.71%2.71%
Case 94.90%1.11%1.02%
Case 1023.77%2.06%1.24%16.63%
Case 110.15%8.87%9.24%1.73%2.10%
Case 129.48%6.18%6.30%2.34%
Case 131.87%1.80%0.79%
Case 145.96%0.52%0.12%
Case 150.75%3.96%6.13%
Case 1611.70%16.99%19.44%4.56%9.85%12.30%
Case 1710.37%0.55%3.55%3.23%
Case 181.07%5.93%1.74%
Case 193.11%2.45%5.69%
Case 2027.08%25.92%25.51%19.94%18.78%18.37%
Mean9.02%7.07%6.74%4.16%2.84%2.47%
SD10.14%8.29%7.27%8.74%6.58%5.54%

The results can be modified to zero error by applying the scenario module.