Research Article

Analysis of Cost Overrun and Schedule Delays of Infrastructure Projects in Low Income Economies: Case Studies in Ethiopia

Table 1

Risk factors leading to cost overrun.

CategoryRisks leading to cost overrunRef.

Client/ownerType of client (public/private)[3, 20, 21]
Client’s experience level[8, 22]
Client’s initial brief (clear scope definition)[20, 22]
Effective communication between client and design team[8, 23, 24]
Client attitude towards changes (variations)[25]
Client’s budget/cash-flow constraints[7, 21, 25]

ConsultantClear and detailed drawings and specification[7, 22, 26]
Competency and experience of the consulting firm[20, 25]
Availability of database for historical cost data[21]
Accuracy and reliability of cost related information[22, 23]
Project’s team experience on project type[9, 21]
Completeness of cost information/estimation[5, 14, 22]
The estimating method used[3]
Level of involvement of the project manager[9, 20]
Quality of information and requirements between experts[7, 22, 26]
Time allowed for preparing cost estimates[8]
Risk sharing between the parties[9, 20, 27]

ContractorClarity of project information before execution[10, 28]
Complexity of design and construction[29]
Clarity and quality of drawings before tendering[3, 22, 30]
Quality of information flow during execution[9, 26, 31]]
Availability of resources (labor, material, and equipment)[32]
Accuracy of bill of quantities[8, 31]
Method of construction and construction technique[5, 7, 20]
Type of project (residential, commercial)[28, 33]
Type of project structure (concrete, steel, masonry)[26, 32]
Project size and complexity[33]
Site conditions (topography, hot area, etc.)[23]
Site constrains (access, storage, electricity, etc.)[21, 22, 30]
Changes in project schedule, phasing requirements[22, 31]

Contract administrationFinancial status of the owner[5, 32]
Type of currency[7, 9, 10]
Method of payments and its approval period[33]
Delivery method and contractual arrangement[14, 33]
Advanced payment arrangement[8, 34]
Method of solving disputes[9, 28, 29]
Liquidated damage amount[23]
Amount and percentage of retention[33, 34]
Type and value of insurance[3]

Project risksSocial aspects of the project (hot spots, near settlements)[21, 29, 32]
Segmentation (limitation of movement between areas)[20, 33]
Political situation of the country[7]
Expected natural forces (floods, storms)[33, 35]

Market conditions (external factors)Level of workmanship (productivity, performance)[30, 35, 36]
Market conditions/economic climate[7, 14]
Level of competition (number of competitors)[33]
Inflation (increase in unit cost of construction materials)[20, 23, 26]
Material availability (including raw materials)[9, 22, 33]
Labor availability and cost[7, 23]
Currency exchange fluctuation[20]
Impact of government regulations requirement[14]
Unforeseeable fluctuation in labor, materials prices[10, 26, 27]
Machinery (cost/availability/performance)[21, 28]