Research Article

Carbon Emission Influencing Factors and Scenario Prediction for Construction Industry in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei

Table 2

Decomposition results of LMDI in the construction industry in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei in 2007–2020.

YearEnergy intensity effect (△CF)/104tIndustrial structure effect (△CR)/104tEnergy structure effect (△CSi)/104tEconomic effect (△CU)/104tPopulation effect (△CP)/104t

2007–200819.584.32−6.3621.433.83
2008–2009−28.2532.100.9314.711.53
2009–2010−17.7136.41−0.167.019.18
2010–2011−26.725.16−0.3735.223.25
2011–2012−27.798.060.6820.082.85
2012–2013−40.256.67−1.8116.902.40
2013–2014−20.477.88−0.8412.132.19
2014–201530.47−10.61−5.0012.531.14
2015–2016−8.26−5.16−2.8219.551.00
2016–2017−5.78−17.41−1.6323.000.00
2017–2018−40.21−9.774.8720.48−0.29
2018–2019−23.990.470.8515.820.45
2019–2020−6.368.42−0.494.990.39
Total effect−195.7366.53−12.14223.8627.92
Absolute value effect295.84152.4426.81223.8528.5