Carbon Emission Influencing Factors and Scenario Prediction for Construction Industry in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei

Table 5

Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei construction industry each influence factor change set.

Changing pattern	Year	Average annual population growth rate (%)	Average annual growth rate of energy intensity (%)	Average annual growth rate of industrial structure (%)	Average annual growth rate of affluence (%)	Diesel energy consumption share (%)
High	2021–2025	2.53	−6.63	3.97	7.47	52.76
	2026–2030	1.33	−7.33	3.47	6.67	49.52
	2031–2035	0.43	−8.03	2.97	6.07	46.48
	2036–2040	−0.27	−8.73	2.47	5.57	43.62
	2041–2045	−0.97	−9.43	1.97	5.07	40.94
Medium	2021–2025	2.21	−6.49	2.77	6.71	51.76
	2026–2030	1.01	−6.79	2.27	5.91	48.58
	2031–2035	0.11	−7.09	1.77	5.31	45.60
	2036–2040	−0.59	−7.39	1.27	4.81	42.79
	2041–2045	−1.29	−7.69	0.77	4.31	40.17
Low	2021–2025	1.16	−5.54	−0.13	5.50	50.76
	2026–2030	−0.04	−5.84	−0.63	4.70	47.64
	2031–2035	−0.94	−6.14	−1.13	4.10	44.71
	2036–2040	−1.64	−6.44	−1.63	3.60	41.97
	2041–2045	−2.34	−6.74	−2.13	3.10	39.39