Research Article
Carbon Emission Influencing Factors and Scenario Prediction for Construction Industry in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei
Table 7
Projections of direct carbon attainment in the construction industry in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei under different scenarios.
| | Scenario | Basic model | Energy intensity EKC model | | Time of peak carbon emission (year) | Peak carbon emission (104t) | Time of peak carbon emission (year) | Peak carbon emission (104t) |
| | Baseline scenario | 2035 | 544.46 | 2035 | 442.15 | | Rough scenario | 2035 | 633.82 | 2035 | 450.97 | | Green development scenario | 2030 | 432.47 | 2030 | 376.24 | | Energy saving scenario | 2028 | 421.74 | 2028 | 366.81 | | Sustainability scenario | 2030 | 495.10 | 2030 | 414.60 |
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EKC, environmental Kuznets curve.
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