Carbon Emission Influencing Factors and Scenario Prediction for Construction Industry in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei

Table 8

Decrease ratio of average cumulative direct carbon emissions in the projection period under different scenarios compared to the baseline scenario.

Scenario	Basic model (%)	Energy intensity EKC model (%)
Baseline scenario	–	–
Rough scenario	5.65	1.25
Green development scenario	−4.27	−6.03
Energy saving scenario	−10.11	−10.82
Sustainability scenario	−10.59	−10.37

EKC, environmental Kuznets curve.