Research Article

Prediction Method of Short-Term Demand for e-Commerce Goods Based on Deep Neural Network

Table 2

Description of main parameters and decision variables.

ParameterMeaning

It is expressed as a specific time known
It is a customer’s purchase demand for a specific commodity, at different times is independent of each other, and there is
is the variance of the specific probability distribution that the demand data y obeys
is the variance of the specific probability distribution subject to the hyperparameter η
is the variance of the specific probability distribution subject to the hyperparameter μ
is the variance of the specific probability distribution which the hyperparameter ϕ obeys
is the variance of the specific probability distribution which the hyperparameter ω obeys
is the variance of the specific probability distribution which the hyperparameter λ obeys
β is the inverse of the variance of the specific probability distribution which the hyperparameter ω obeys
γ is the inverse of the variance of the specific probability distribution which the hyperparameter λ obeys
ξ is the inverse of the variance of the specific probability distribution which the hyperparameter μ obeys
ζ is the inverse of the variance of the specific probability distribution which the hyperparameter ϕ obeys
ε is the noise term or disturbance term acting on at different times
H is the period factor of the hyperparameter ω
α is the inverse of the variance of the specific probability distribution that the demand data y obeys

Decision variableMeaning

It is a hidden state acting on y, which is represented by the customer's demand state for a specific commodity
μ is a hyperparameter acting on η, representing the long-term mean of η, μ ≥ 0
ϕ is a hyperparameter acting on η, indicating the rate of autoregression, −1 < ϕ < 1
η is a hyperparameter acting on y, representing the passenger flow factor, ω ≥ 0
λ is a hyperparameter acting on y, characterized as an additional factor affecting customer demand, λ ≥ 0