Forecast Customization System (FOCUS): A Multimodel Ensemble-Based Seasonal Climate Forecasting Tool for the Homogeneous Climate Zones of Myanmar

Table 3

ROC scores for three tercile categories over the six identified climate zones for the three MME schemes.

Tercile/regions	MMEs	Shan	North	Dry	Coastal	South	Delta	Myanmar
Below normal	AM	0.6	0.4	0.55	0.48	0.63	0.63	0.78
	WA	0.55	0.55	0.6	0.63	0.7	0.63	0.78
	PCR	0.7	0.63	0.6	0.55	0.78	0.78	0.75
Normal	AM	0.4	0.33	0.55	0.4	0.48	0.55	0.58
	WA	0.48	0.48	0.55	0.63	0.6	0.4	0.83
	PCR	0.63	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.63	0.63	0.55
Above normal	AM	0.52	0.33	0.45	0.55	0.63	0.7	0.8
	WA	0.55	0.48	0.7	0.7	0.6	0.7	0.83
	PCR	0.48	0.4	0.63	0.55	0.7	0.85	0.8