Research Article

Frequentist and Bayesian Approaches in Modeling and Prediction of Extreme Rainfall Series: A Case Study from Southern Highlands Region of Tanzania

Table 3

Return level estimates using MLE, L-moments, and Bayesian MCMC.

Return periodMLE methodL-moments methodBayesian MCMC method

5-years66.81 (58.20–75.41)59.47 (66.70–77.26)60.20 (72.51–92.87)
10-years77.69 (62.87–9.50)65.31 (77.53–93.11)67.86 (87.84–133.75)
20-years90.22 (64.92–115.51)71.26 (89.51–111.64)75.72 (107.68–201.07)
50-years110.16 (62.22–158.10)77.55 (108.11–151.27)85.11 (145.42–364.48)
100-years128.45 (54.56–202.344)81.20 (124.74–194.38)91.83 (188.40–584.76)