Research Article

A Predictive Model and Survival Analysis for Tube Feeding in ALS Patients: A Prospective Cohort Study in a Chinese ALS Clinic

Table 2

Factors associated with tube feeding in univariate and multivariate analysis with the Cox regression analysis ().

VariablesUnivariate analysisMultivariate analysis
cHR (95% CI) valueaHR (95% CI) value

Sex0.72 (0.37-1.42)0.34
Age of onset (y)1.03 (1.00-1.06)0.041.04 (1.00-1.08)0.05
Bulbar onset4.99 (2.49-9.99)<0.0010.68 (0.22-2.06)0.49
Time to diagnose (m)0.93 (0.89-0.98)0.0020.95 (0.90-1.01)0.12
ALSFRS-R scorea0.92 (0.90-0.94)<0.001
ALSFRS-R slopea6.36 (3.89-10.41)<0.0014.94 (2.26-10.81)<0.001
NBRIa2.65 (1.82-3.84)<0.0010.58 (0.12-2.79)0.49
Bulbar involvementa19.41 (4.64-81.28)<0.00111.87 (1.42-99.31)0.02
Upper limb involvementa1.56 (0.64-3.80)0.32
Lower limb involvementa3.22 (1.13-9.15)0.031.89 (0.12-30.03)0.65
Respiratory involvementa4.53 (2.26-9.06)<0.0011.98 (0.31-12.53)0.47
BMI a0.86 (0.78-0.95)0.0031.09 (0.95-1.26)0.23
Weight loss (kg)a1.1 (1.05-1.14)<0.0011.05 (0.95-1.15)0.34
Weight loss (%)a2.55 (1.26-5.16)0.010.85 (0.26-2.83)0.79
Bulbar scorea0.74 (0.69-0.80)<0.0010.81 (0.69-0.96)0.01
Fine motor scorea0.85 (0.78-0.93)<0.0011.05 (0.87-1.28)0.59
Gross motor scorea0.86 (0.79-0.95)0.0020.98 (0.81-1.20)0.87
Respiratory scorea0.81 (0.74-0.89)<0.0011.12 (0.89-1.40)0.33
NIV routine usersb4.91 (2.47-9.75)<0.0011.86 (0.59-5.87)0.29
History of ischemic strokea8.76 (2.65-28.97)<0.0015.69 (1.3-24.82)0.02
Dyspneab4.39 (1.98-9.75)<0.0011.00 (0.29-3.42)0.99

Factors associated with tube feeding with value lower than 0.1 using the univariate Cox regression were enrolled in the multivariate Cox regression analysis. High ALSFRS-R slope, low bulbar score, history of ischemic stroke, and bulbar involvement were identified as independent risk factors of tube feeding using the multivariate Cox regression. Note: ALSFRS-R: Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Functional Rating Scale revised; NBRI: body regions involved; BMI: body mass index; NIV: noninvasive ventilation; aHR: adjusted hazard ratio; cHR: crude hazard ratio; y: year; m: month; kg: kilogram; 95% CI: 95% confidence interval; a: at baseline; b: during follow-up; : number. In bold: value < 0.05.