Review Article

Microchips in Medicine: Current and Future Applications

Table 1

Market model, insulin for types 1 and 2 diabetes. Diabetes statistics providing estimates for population sizes were collected from the American diabetes association [31].

Microchips in insulin delivery for types 1 & 2 diabetes for Company X

US diabetes type 1 prevalence (millions) 1.75
US diabetes type 2 prevalence (millions) 21
Total (millions)22.75
Annual increase in diabetes population (millions) 1.4
Annual decrease in diabetes population (millions)
 (mortality rate diabetes prevalence)
0.2418
Annual increase in prevalence (millions)1.1582
Delivery methods
 Insulin only 14%
 Oral only 56.90%
 Insulin & oral 14.40%
 Other 14.70%
Total on insulin28.40%
Insulin only refers to both pump and syringe treatments
Average conversion rate to microchip therapy
 Insulin only 25.00%
 Oral only 10.00%
 Insulin & oral 17.50%
 Other 2.50%
Percentage of population on microchip12.0775%
Pricing of microchip therapy (2015 dollars)
Annual per patient cost10,000
Based upon top line pricing of insulin pump treatments & insertion procedures
Raw peak sales
Year 2035 (millions)55,452.63
Accounting for increase in patient population size
Probability of success 15%
Share of market10%
Company X peak sales (millions)831.79

Preceding assumptions.