Research Article

Development of an Empirically Calibrated Model of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma in High-Risk Regions

Table 2

Calibration targets.

Age Group (year)ESCC incidence (per 100,000)mD prevalence (%)MD prevalence (%)SD prevalence (%)

30-343.4---
35-3912.4--
40-4442.413.11.240.34
45-4993.116.72.260.77
50-54238.721.13.621.71
55-59475.822.65.372.58
60-64519.625.85.52.64
65-69636.824.35.673.84
70-74878.9---
75-79925.1---
80-841145.1---
≥85967.6---

≥65 years old.
ESCC, esophageal squamous cell carcinoma; mD, mild dysplasia; MD, moderate dysplasia; SD, severe dysplasia.