Research Article

Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Overall Survival to Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy in Patients with Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Table 1

Characteristics of patients.

VariableTotal ()Training set ()Validation set () value

Age (years, )0.594
Tumor length (cm, )0.357
Radiotherapy dose (Gy, )0.790
NLR ()0.468
PLR ()0.059
MLR (per 0.1 change) ()0.819
Sex ()0.674
 Female174 (34.6)118 (35.2)56 (33.3)
 Male329 (65.4)217 (64.8)112 (66.7)
Location ()0.429
 Neck/upper287 (57.1)187 (55.8)100 (59.5)
 Middle/lower216 (42.9)148 (44.2)68 (40.5)
T stage ()0.278
 T1-T2135 (26.8)90 (26.9)45 (26.8)
 T3119 (23.7)86 (25.7)33 (19.6)
 T4249 (49.5)159 (47.5)90 (53.6)
N stage ()0.963
 N0161 (32.0)107 (31.9)54 (32.1)
 N+342 (68.0)228 (68.1)114 (67.9)
Clinical stage ()0.369
 II123 (24.5)86 (25.7)37 (22.0)
 III380 (75.5)249 (74.3)131 (78.0)
Radiotherapy type ()0.971
 IMRT285 (56.7)190 (56.7)95 (56.5)
 3DCRT218 (43.3)145 (43.3)73 (43.5)
Adjuvant chemotherapy ()0.469
 No267 (53.1)174 (51.9)93 (55.4)
 Yes236 (46.9)161 (48.1)75 (44.6)
Tumor response ()0.517
 CR113 (22.5)78 (23.3)35 (20.8)
 PR351 (69.8)234 (69.9)117 (69.6)
 SD/PD39 (7.8)23 (6.9)16 (9.5)

NLR: neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio; PLR: platelet/lymphocyte ratio; MLR: monocyte/lymphocyte ratio; CR: complete response; PR: partial response; SD: stable disease; PD: progressive disease; IMRT: intensity-modulated radiotherapy; 3DCRT: three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy.