Comparing In-Hospital Mortality Prediction by Senior Emergency Resident’s Judgment and Prognostic Models in the Emergency Department
Table 2
Baseline characteristics of study participants.
Characteristics
Nonsurvivors ()
Survivors ()
Total ()
value
Age (year)
70 (57-80)
63 (48-76)
64 (50-77)
<0.001a
Gender
Male
194 (45.5%)
835 (46.9%)
1176 (53.3%)
0.62b
Female
232 (54.5%)
944 (53.1%)
mSOFA parameters
Icteric
26 (6%)
40 (2%)
185 (8%)
<0.001b
MAP (mmHg)
90 (74-102)
93 (83-103)
93.3 (82-103)
<0.001a
SpO2
95% (90-95)
95% (94-96)
95% (93-96)
<0.001a
FiO2
21% [21–40]
21% [21]
21% [21]
<0.001a
GCS
15 (13-15)
15 (15-15)
15 (15-15)
<0.001a
Creatinine
1.7 (1.1-2.9)
1.2 (0.9-1.8)
1.2 (0.9-2)
<0.001a
Platelets
215 (147-289)
180 (104-272)
210 (137-286)
0.007a
qSOFA parameters
SBP
120 (100-139)
126 (110-140)
125 (110-140)
<0.001a
Respiratory rate
20 (18-25)
18 (17-20)
18 (17-21)
<0.001a
GCS
15 (13-15)
15 (15-15)
15 (15-15)
<0.001a
Models
Physician prognosis
40 (20-50)
20 (10-30)
20 (10-40)
<0.001a
0-30
210 (49.3)
1348 (75.8)
1558 (70.7%)
31-60
187 (43.9)
392 (22.1)
579 (26.3)
≥61
29 (6.8)
38 (2.1)
67 (3%)
qSOFA score
1 (1-2)
0 (0-1)
0 (0-1)
<0.001a
0
102 (23.9)
1009 (56.7)
1111 (50.4%)
1
180 (42.3)
593 (33.3)
773 (35.1%)
≥2
144 (33.8)
177 (9.9)
321 (14.6%)
mSOFA score
4 (2-5)
0 (1-3)
2 (0-3)
<0.001a
0-4
286 (67.1)
1650 (92.7)
1936 (87.8%)
5-8
116 (27.3)
121 (6.9)
237 (10.7%)
≥9
24 (2.3)
8 (0.4)
32 (1.5%)
Triage level (ESI)
Level 1-resuscitation
77 (18.1%)
121 (6.8%)
198 (9%)
0.001c
Level 2-emergent
199 (46.7%)
632 (35.5%)
831 (37.7%)
Level 3-urgent
150 (35.2%)
1026 (57.7%)
1176 (53.3%)
Ventilation support
93 (21.8%)
30 (1.7%)
124 (5.6%)
<0.001b
Diagnostic group based on ICD-10
Certain infectious and parasitic disease
59 (14%)
117 (7%)
176 (8%)
0.002a
Neoplasms, diseases of the blood
90 (21%)
193 (11%)
352 (16%)
Diseases of the circulatory system
58 (14%)
221 (12%)
279 (12.7%)
Diseases of the respiratory system
60 (14%)
236 (13%)
296 (13.4%)
Diseases of the digestive system
79 (19%)
470 (26%)
549 (24.9%)
Diseases of the urinary system
41 (10%)
194 (11%)
235 (10.7%)
Other reasons
39 (9%)
348 (19%)
387 (17.5%)
Abbreviation: MAP: mean arterial pressure; FiO2: fraction of inspired oxygen; MAP: mean arterial pressure; GCS: Glasgow Coma Scale. aAnalysis by independent-samples test. bAnalysis by Fisher’s exact test. cAnalysis by Chi-square test.
