Research Article
Spatial-Temporal Change Trend Analysis of Second-Hand House Price in Hefei Based on Spatial Network
Table 3
Spatial Markov transition probability matrix of secondary residential prices in Hefei city in 2020–2021 (conditional on spatial lag).
| | Spatial lag | Local status | 2020.10–2021.3 (stage 1) | 2021.4–2021.9 (stage 2) | | n | Low | Lower | Higher | High | n | Low | Lower | Higher | High | | t/t + 1 | 1765 | <25% | 25%∼50% | 50%∼75% | >75% | 1765 | <25% | 25%∼50% | 50%∼75% | >75% |
| | Low | Low | 313 | 0.968 | 0.032 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 318 | 0.950 | 0.050 | 0.000 | 0.000 | | Lower | 75 | 0.080 | 0.920 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 59 | 0.102 | 0.831 | 0.068 | 0.000 | | Higher | 25 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.000 | 16 | 0.000 | 0.063 | 0.938 | 0.000 | | High | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| | Lower | Low | 94 | 0.904 | 0.096 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 91 | 0.890 | 0.110 | 0.000 | 0.000 | | Lower | 97 | 0.052 | 0.887 | 0.062 | 0.000 | 166 | 0.012 | 0.898 | 0.090 | 0.000 | | Higher | 98 | 0.000 | 0.020 | 0.939 | 0.041 | 89 | 0.000 | 0.067 | 0.921 | 0.011 | | High | 5 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 8 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000 |
| | Higher | Low | 37 | 0.865 | 0.135 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 40 | 0.875 | 0.125 | 0.000 | 0.000 | | Lower | 230 | 0.017 | 0.909 | 0.074 | 0.000 | 194 | 0.015 | 0.856 | 0.129 | 0.000 | | Higher | 249 | 0.000 | 0.040 | 0.896 | 0.064 | 253 | 0.000 | 0.016 | 0.941 | 0.043 | | High | 89 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.011 | 0.989 | 103 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0.019 | 0.981 |
| | High | Low | 4 | 1.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | | Lower | 45 | 0.000 | 0.822 | 0.178 | 0.000 | 25 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | | Higher | 77 | 0.000 | 0.013 | 0.766 | 0.221 | 75 | 0.000 | 0.013 | 0.933 | 0.053 | | High | 327 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 328 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.009 | 0.991 |
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