Research Article

Intelligent Evaluation and Early Warning of Liquidity Risk of Commercial Banks Based on RNN

Table 3

Liquidity risk index system of commercial banks.

Goal layerElement layerIndicator layerVariable definition

Deposit-loan maturity mismatch risk of commercial banksInstitutional environmental impact factorsDegree of government interventionMarketization index report
Degree of finance marketizationDomestic credits/GDP
The social financing scale
Market intermediary organization and perfection of legal systemThe perfection of legal system
The difference between the registered place and the target place of the enterpriseReflecting differences in policy environment
Policy environmental impact factorsFinancial expenditureFinance expenditure level
Taxation variationTax policy change level
Local government debtLocal government borrowing level
Interest rate changesInterest rate change level
Mirror image of foreign exchange reserveForeign exchange management level
Growth rate of m2Growth level of broad money supply
Policy uncertaintyReflecting the level of economic and policy uncertainty
Industry environmental impact factorsImport and export trade growthImport and export trade has some relative growth levels
Interbank offered rateLending policy management
State housing boom indexReflecting the prosperity of the real estate industry
Fixed asset investmentReflecting investment in infrastructure construction in China
Internal impact factors of banksExecutive compensation stickinessThe stickiness level of executive compensation for enterprise performance
Managerial overconfidenceManagers’ expectations of future market environment
Enterprise growthNet assets growth rate
Amount of non-performing loans in normal loans/normal loansNon-performing loan management level
Amount of non-performing loans in concerned loans/concerned loans
(General preparation + special preparation + special preparation)/(sub-prime loans + suspicious loans + loss loans)
Non-performing loans/total loans
Loan amount/deposit amountFunds management level
Demand deposit/fixed term deposits
Converted funds/deposits
Net assets/total weighted risk assetsDebt paying ability
[(equity + long-term liabilities + operational current liabilities) - long-term assets]/operational current assets