Colorectal Cancer Screening in Average Risk Populations: Evidence Summary
Table 5
GRADE evidence profile—FS versus no screening.
Quality assessment
Number of patients
Effect
Quality
Importance
Number of studies
Design
Risk of bias
Inconsistency
Indirectness
Imprecision
Other considerations
FS (cases/person-years)
No screening (cases/person-years)
Relative (95% CI)
Absolute (cases/person-years)
CRC mortality (follow-up: 6–12 years)
4
Randomized trials
Not serious
Not serious
Not serious
Not serious
Not serious
576/1,902,184 (0.03%)
1321/3,114,546 (0.04%)
RR 0.72 (0.65–0.80)
119 fewer per 1,000,000 (from 85 fewer to 148 fewer)
⨁⨁⨁⨁ High
Critical
Control (gFOBT + FS) = 0.06%
168 fewer per 1,000,000 (from 120 fewer to 210 fewer)
Complications from tests (from Holme et al. 2013 [10])1
5
Randomized trials
Not serious
Not serious
Not serious
Not serious
Not serious
N/A2
⨁⨁⨁⨁ High
Critical
All-cause mortality (follow-up: 6–12 years)
4
Randomized trials
Not serious
Not serious
Not serious
Not serious
Not serious
19,525/1,902,184 (1.0%)
32,903/3,114,546 (1.1%)
RR 0.97 (0.96–0.99)
317 fewer per 1,000,000 (from 106 fewer to 423 fewer)
⨁⨁⨁⨁ High
Important
Control (gFOBT + FS) = 1.85%
555 fewer per 1,000,000 (from 185 fewer to 740 fewer)
CRC incidence (follow-up: 6–12 years)
4
Randomized trials
Not serious
Not serious
Not serious
Not serious
Not serious
2218/1,860,990 (0.1%)
4579/3,067,081 (0.1%)
RR 0.78 (0.74–0.83)
328 fewer per 1,000,000 (from 254 fewer to 388 fewer)
⨁⨁⨁⨁ High
Important
Control (gFOBT + FS) = 0.16%
352 fewer per 1,000,000 (from 272 fewer to 416 fewer)
CI: confidence interval; CRC: colorectal cancer; FS: flexible sigmoidoscopy; gFOBT: guaiac fecal occult blood test; GRADE: Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations; RR: relative risk; N/A: not applicable. In order to have comparable control rates across all gFOBT and FS trials, the control rates for the no screening groups in the gFOBT and FS trials were combined and calculated from the total number of cases across all gFOBT and FS trials over the total number of person-years across all gFOBT and FS trials. 1Major complication rate included bleeding, perforation, or death within 30 days of screening, follow-up colonoscopy, or surgery. 2Holme et al. 2013 [10] reported a major complication rate of 0.08%.