Research Article

Prognostic Role of MELD-Lactate in Cirrhotic Patients’ Short- and Long-Term Prognosis, Stratified by Causes of Cirrhosis

Table 1

Characteristics of the study population, stratified by survival.

ParameterAll patients (N = 469)Survivors (N = 338)Nonsurvivors (N = 131) value

Age (years)55.6 (48.8–65.0)55.7 (47.9–65.7)55.1 (49.9–63.7)0.804
Sex: male307 (65.5)223 (66.0)84 (64.1)0.705
BMI (kg/m2)28.5 (24.1–32.4)28.5 (24.0–32.3)29.2 (25.1–33.5)0.344
Ethnicity0.159
 White342 (72.9)251 (74.3)91 (69.5)
 Black30 (6.4)24 (7.1)6 (4.6)
 Others97 (20.7)63 (18.6)34 (26.0)
Causes of cirrhosis
 Alcoholic260 (55.4)182 (53.8)78 (59.5)0.266
 Hepatitis B12 (2.6)7 (2.1)5 (3.8)0.283
 Hepatitis C118 (25.2)81 (24.0)37 (28.2)0.338
 Biliary8 (1.7)8 (2.4)0 (0.0)0.113
 Autoimmune4 (0.9)3 (0.9)1 (0.8)1.000
 Others133 (28.4)103 (30.5)30 (22.9)0.103
Primary cause of ICU admission
 Infection/sepsis129 (27.5)95 (28.1)34 (26.0)0.640
 Bleeding107 (22.8)83 (24.6)24 (18.3)0.149
 Respiratory16 (3.4)12 (3.6)4 (3.1)1.000
 Cardiovascular54 (11.5)44 (13.0)10 (7.6)0.101
 Renal failure24 (5.1)11 (3.3)13 (9.9)0.003
 Neurological failure49 (10.4)36 (10.7)13 (9.9)0.817
 Others90 (19.2)57 (16.9)33 (25.2)0.040
Comorbidity
 Hypertension117 (24.9)82 (24.3)35 (26.7)0.581
 Diabetes121 (25.8)85 (25.1)36 (27.5)0.604
Vital signs
 Temperature (°C)36.7 (36.3–37.2)36.7 (36.4–37.3)36.4 (36.0–36.9)<0.001
 Heart rate90.5 (79.0–103.3)88.6 (78.0–102.2)95.1 (81.3–104.4)0.046
 MAP (mmHg)73.0 (67.6–80.7)74.8 (69.1–82.2)69.6 (64.3–75.1)<0.001
 Respiratory rate18.9 (16.1–22.1)18.4 (15.9–21.0)20.5 (17.1–24.7)<0.001
 SpO2/FiO2183.0 (172.9–456.6)198.7 (175.1–457.7)174.9 (168.8–454.5)<0.001
24-h urine output (mL)1119 (570–1890)1325 (759–2000)571 (175–1119)<0.001
Mechanical ventilation duration (hours)37.0 (0.0–121.7)22.4 (0.0–123.0)59.7 (12.0–120.5)0.006
Length of ICU stay (day)4.0 (2.4–8.4)3.9 (2.3–8.8)4.2 (2.6–7.3)0.571
Laboratory parameters
 Hb (mg/dL)9.9 (9.0–11.1)10.0 (9.1–11.2)9.7 (8.6–11.0)0.041
 WBC (109/L)10.5 (7.4–15.7)10.2 (7.4–14.6)11.7 (7.5–19.3)0.018
 Platelet (109/L)99.8 (70.1–151.3)108.2 (74.3–159.0)86.0 (61.8–116.0)<0.001
 INR1.7 (1.5–2.1)1.6 (1.4–1.9)2.1 (1.8–2.9)<0.001
 PT (seconds)18.0 (15.6–21.4)16.8 (15.3–19.7)21.1 (18.4–25.2)<0.001
 PTT (seconds)39.5 (33.5–49.2)37.4 (32.4–44.3)46.6 (39.3–63.2)<0.001
 Glucose (mg/dL)126.7 (103.0–158.0)127.5 (103.3–157.6)124.5 (101.2–158.3)0.823
 Sodium (mEq/L)138.0 (134.0–141.1)138.0 (135.3–141.2)136.0 (131.0–141.0)<0.001
 Potassium (mEq/L)4.1 (3.7–4.5)4.1 (3.7–4.4)4.3 (3.8–4.7)0.002
 BUN (mg/dL)29.5 (17.0–50.0)26.0 (15.5–44.3)41.4 (26.5–63.0)<0.001
 Creatinine (mg/dL)1.3 (0.8–2.5)1.1 (0.8–2.0)1.9 (1.2–3.4)<0.001
 Bilirubin (mg/dL)3.3 (1.6–7.7)2.8 (1.4–5.3)7.2 (3.2–16.6)<0.001
 Albumin (g/dL)2.8 (2.6–3.0)2.8 (2.6–3.0)2.8 (2.5–3.1)0.291
 Lactate (mmol/L)2.2 (1.6–3.8)2.0 (1.5–3.0)3.4 (2.1–6.6)<0.001
Clinical scores
 Child-Pugh10 (9–11)10 (9–11)11 (10–11)<0.001
 SOFA9 (6–11)8 (6–10)12 (10–14)<0.001
 CLIF-SOFA9 (7–12)9 (6–11)12 (10–15)<0.001
 MELD16 (10–25)13 (8–20)26 (17–34)<0.001
 MELD-LA15 (11–18)13 (10–16)19 (16–24)<0.001

Values are expressed as n (%) or median (IQR). UC, ulcerative colitis; CD, Crohn’ s disease; BMI, body mass index.