Comparing Statistical Models to Predict Dengue Fever Notifications

Table 1

Comparison of MAPE values across various ARIMA models.

Model	Model specification	MAPE
1	ARIMA (1,0,0)	23.61
2	ARIMA (2,0,0)	23.09
3	ARIMA (3,0,0)	23.20
4	ARIMA (4,0,0)	23.23
5	ARIMA (3,1,0)	19.86
6	ARIMA (3,1,1)	19.96