Modeling the Impact of Climate Change on the Dynamics of Rift Valley Fever

<table class="table-group" width="800px"><tr class="fig-image" id="a"><td><img alt="627586.fig.005a" src="https://static-preview.hindawi.com/articles/cmmm/volume-2014/627586/figures/627586.fig.005a.jpg"/></td></tr><tr class="fig-caption"><td align="center"><table><tr><td><b>(a) </b>Sensitivity and elasticity of <svg height="16.025" id="M314" style="vertical-align:-3.3907pt" version="1.1" viewbox="0 0 23.75 16.025" width="23.75" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<g transform="matrix(.017,-0,0,-.017,.062,11.737)"><path d="M852 669l7 -19q-33 -13 -66 -38q83 -53 83 -139q0 -65 -49 -111q-49 -47 -131 -50v-2q54 -40 54 -84q0 -36 -38 -97t-38 -77q0 -34 32 -34q52 0 145 101l17 -16q-100 -115 -176 -115q-38 0 -65.5 23.5t-27.5 58.5q-1 28 20.5 61t43.5 63t20 51q0 48 -33 48q-30 0 -47 11
q-81 -166 -177 -242.5t-219 -76.5q-77 0 -125 36t-48 87q0 31 17 51t42 20q22 0 36.5 -13.5t14.5 -34.5t-11.5 -34.5t-31.5 -13.5q-23 0 -30 12h-2q0 -28 35 -54q34 -25 85 -25q94 0 152 52q60 53 145 203q75 133 131 214q54 75 121 124q-76 48 -192 48q-150 0 -250 -75
q-101 -75 -101 -174q0 -41 30 -68.5t73 -27.5q158 0 205 245h20q-8 -107 -69 -191q-62 -84 -158 -84q-63 0 -102.5 35.5t-39.5 94.5q0 107 111 191t282 84q124 0 221 -59q38 24 84 41zM814 486q0 64 -48 102q-7 -6 -14 -14t-14.5 -18l-10.5 -14q-4 -5 -35 -55l-6 -11
q-6 -11 -10 -20t-10 -20l-6 -11l-17 -36q-4 -7 -7.5 -14.5l-6 -13t-3.5 -7.5q34 0 60 -17q57 6 92 50q36 43 36 99z" id="x211B"></path></g>
<g transform="matrix(.012,-0,0,-.012,17.35,15.825)"><path d="M241 635q53 0 94 -28.5t63.5 -76t33.5 -102.5t11 -116q0 -58 -11 -112.5t-34 -103.5t-63.5 -78.5t-94.5 -29.5t-95 28t-64.5 75t-34.5 102.5t-11 118.5q0 58 11.5 112.5t34.5 103t64.5 78t95.5 29.5zM238 602q-32 0 -55.5 -25t-35.5 -68t-17.5 -91t-5.5 -105
q0 -76 10 -138.5t37 -107.5t69 -45q32 0 55.5 25t35.5 68.5t17.5 91.5t5.5 105t-5.5 105.5t-18 92t-36 68t-56.5 24.5z" id="x30"></path></g>
</svg> for low parameter values</td></tr></table></td></tr><tr class="fig-image" id="b"><td><img alt="627586.fig.005b" src="https://static-preview.hindawi.com/articles/cmmm/volume-2014/627586/figures/627586.fig.005b.jpg"/></td></tr><tr class="fig-caption"><td align="center"><table><tr><td><b>(b) </b>Sensitivity and elasticity of <svg height="16.025" id="M315" style="vertical-align:-3.3907pt" version="1.1" viewbox="0 0 23.75 16.025" width="23.75" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<g transform="matrix(.017,-0,0,-.017,.062,11.737)"><path d="M852 669l7 -19q-33 -13 -66 -38q83 -53 83 -139q0 -65 -49 -111q-49 -47 -131 -50v-2q54 -40 54 -84q0 -36 -38 -97t-38 -77q0 -34 32 -34q52 0 145 101l17 -16q-100 -115 -176 -115q-38 0 -65.5 23.5t-27.5 58.5q-1 28 20.5 61t43.5 63t20 51q0 48 -33 48q-30 0 -47 11
q-81 -166 -177 -242.5t-219 -76.5q-77 0 -125 36t-48 87q0 31 17 51t42 20q22 0 36.5 -13.5t14.5 -34.5t-11.5 -34.5t-31.5 -13.5q-23 0 -30 12h-2q0 -28 35 -54q34 -25 85 -25q94 0 152 52q60 53 145 203q75 133 131 214q54 75 121 124q-76 48 -192 48q-150 0 -250 -75
q-101 -75 -101 -174q0 -41 30 -68.5t73 -27.5q158 0 205 245h20q-8 -107 -69 -191q-62 -84 -158 -84q-63 0 -102.5 35.5t-39.5 94.5q0 107 111 191t282 84q124 0 221 -59q38 24 84 41zM814 486q0 64 -48 102q-7 -6 -14 -14t-14.5 -18l-10.5 -14q-4 -5 -35 -55l-6 -11
q-6 -11 -10 -20t-10 -20l-6 -11l-17 -36q-4 -7 -7.5 -14.5l-6 -13t-3.5 -7.5q34 0 60 -17q57 6 92 50q36 43 36 99z" id="x211B"></path></g>
<g transform="matrix(.012,-0,0,-.012,17.35,15.825)"><path d="M241 635q53 0 94 -28.5t63.5 -76t33.5 -102.5t11 -116q0 -58 -11 -112.5t-34 -103.5t-63.5 -78.5t-94.5 -29.5t-95 28t-64.5 75t-34.5 102.5t-11 118.5q0 58 11.5 112.5t34.5 103t64.5 78t95.5 29.5zM238 602q-32 0 -55.5 -25t-35.5 -68t-17.5 -91t-5.5 -105
q0 -76 10 -138.5t37 -107.5t69 -45q32 0 55.5 25t35.5 68.5t17.5 91.5t5.5 105t-5.5 105.5t-18 92t-36 68t-56.5 24.5z" id="x30"></path></g>
</svg> for high parameter values</td></tr></table></td></tr></table>

<table>Sensitivity and elasticity of <svg height="16.025" id="M313" style="vertical-align:-3.3907pt" version="1.1" viewbox="0 0 23.75 16.025" width="23.75" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<g transform="matrix(.017,-0,0,-.017,.062,11.737)"><path d="M852 669l7 -19q-33 -13 -66 -38q83 -53 83 -139q0 -65 -49 -111q-49 -47 -131 -50v-2q54 -40 54 -84q0 -36 -38 -97t-38 -77q0 -34 32 -34q52 0 145 101l17 -16q-100 -115 -176 -115q-38 0 -65.5 23.5t-27.5 58.5q-1 28 20.5 61t43.5 63t20 51q0 48 -33 48q-30 0 -47 11
q-81 -166 -177 -242.5t-219 -76.5q-77 0 -125 36t-48 87q0 31 17 51t42 20q22 0 36.5 -13.5t14.5 -34.5t-11.5 -34.5t-31.5 -13.5q-23 0 -30 12h-2q0 -28 35 -54q34 -25 85 -25q94 0 152 52q60 53 145 203q75 133 131 214q54 75 121 124q-76 48 -192 48q-150 0 -250 -75
q-101 -75 -101 -174q0 -41 30 -68.5t73 -27.5q158 0 205 245h20q-8 -107 -69 -191q-62 -84 -158 -84q-63 0 -102.5 35.5t-39.5 94.5q0 107 111 191t282 84q124 0 221 -59q38 24 84 41zM814 486q0 64 -48 102q-7 -6 -14 -14t-14.5 -18l-10.5 -14q-4 -5 -35 -55l-6 -11
q-6 -11 -10 -20t-10 -20l-6 -11l-17 -36q-4 -7 -7.5 -14.5l-6 -13t-3.5 -7.5q34 0 60 -17q57 6 92 50q36 43 36 99z" id="x211B"></path></g>
<g transform="matrix(.012,-0,0,-.012,17.35,15.825)"><path d="M241 635q53 0 94 -28.5t63.5 -76t33.5 -102.5t11 -116q0 -58 -11 -112.5t-34 -103.5t-63.5 -78.5t-94.5 -29.5t-95 28t-64.5 75t-34.5 102.5t-11 118.5q0 58 11.5 112.5t34.5 103t64.5 78t95.5 29.5zM238 602q-32 0 -55.5 -25t-35.5 -68t-17.5 -91t-5.5 -105
q0 -76 10 -138.5t37 -107.5t69 -45q32 0 55.5 25t35.5 68.5t17.5 91.5t5.5 105t-5.5 105.5t-18 92t-36 68t-56.5 24.5z" id="x30"></path></g>
</svg> plotted against the low and high parameters values.</table>

Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine

fig5

Figure 5

Figure 5: Modeling the Impact of Climate Change on the Dynamics of Rift Valley Fever 