Tactics and Strategies for Managing Ebola Outbreaks and the Salience of Immunization

Figure 2

(a) A bar plot of the average weekly incidence rates during outbreaks (i.e., given that immediate fadeout did not occur) over 12 weeks, starting with an index case at the beginning of week 1, as generated from 100 runs of our transmission model, using the baseline parameter set in Table S1 (see SOI for details). (b) Plots of weekly incidence rates in 6 local areas (see Figure S2 for daily rates) that have been shifted to allow us to visually compare the shapes of these bar plots with model output.