Research Article

[Retracted] Prediction of Incidence Trend of Influenza-Like Illness in Wuhan Based on ARIMA Model

Table 2

Comparison between actual and predicted ILI in 52 weeks of year 2021.

WeekActual incidence ratePredicted incidence ratePredicted incidence rate 95% CIWeekActual incidence ratePredicted incidence ratePredicted incidence rate 95% CI
Lower limitUpper limitLower limitUpper limit

12.171.01-0.542.56270.140.99-2.594.58
24.551.03-1.053.12280.080.98-2.64.57
30.411.05-1.383.48290.100.97-2.614.56
40.371.06-1.623.75300.070.96-2.624.55
50.381.07-1.83.95310.100.95-2.644.54
60.031.08-1.934.1320.080.94-2.654.53
70.191.09-2.044.22330.080.93-2.664.52
80.191.09-2.124.31340.070.92-2.674.51
90.051.1-2.194.38350.190.91-2.684.5
100.071.1-2.254.44360.140.9-2.694.49
110.201.1-2.294.48370.290.89-2.714.48
120.261.1-2.334.52380.320.88-2.724.47
130.161.09-2.364.55390.400.87-2.734.46
140.331.09-2.394.57400.180.85-2.744.45
150.261.09-2.414.58410.330.84-2.754.44
160.211.08-2.434.59420.210.83-2.764.43
170.211.07-2.454.6430.290.82-2.774.41
180.251.07-2.474.61440.210.81-2.794.4
190.241.06-2.494.61450.150.8-2.84.39
200.311.05-2.54.61460.190.79-2.814.38
210.141.05-2.514.61470.150.77-2.824.37
220.121.04-2.534.6480.270.76-2.834.36
230.151.03-2.544.6490.280.75-2.844.35
240.161.02-2.554.6500.380.74-2.864.34
250.081.01-2.574.59510.480.73-2.874.32
260.051-2.584.58520.810.72-2.884.31