Research Article
[Retracted] Prediction of Incidence Trend of Influenza-Like Illness in Wuhan Based on ARIMA Model
Table 2
Comparison between actual and predicted ILI in 52 weeks of year 2021.
| Week | Actual incidence rate | Predicted incidence rate | Predicted incidence rate 95% CI | Week | Actual incidence rate | Predicted incidence rate | Predicted incidence rate 95% CI | Lower limit | Upper limit | Lower limit | Upper limit |
| 1 | 2.17 | 1.01 | -0.54 | 2.56 | 27 | 0.14 | 0.99 | -2.59 | 4.58 | 2 | 4.55 | 1.03 | -1.05 | 3.12 | 28 | 0.08 | 0.98 | -2.6 | 4.57 | 3 | 0.41 | 1.05 | -1.38 | 3.48 | 29 | 0.10 | 0.97 | -2.61 | 4.56 | 4 | 0.37 | 1.06 | -1.62 | 3.75 | 30 | 0.07 | 0.96 | -2.62 | 4.55 | 5 | 0.38 | 1.07 | -1.8 | 3.95 | 31 | 0.10 | 0.95 | -2.64 | 4.54 | 6 | 0.03 | 1.08 | -1.93 | 4.1 | 32 | 0.08 | 0.94 | -2.65 | 4.53 | 7 | 0.19 | 1.09 | -2.04 | 4.22 | 33 | 0.08 | 0.93 | -2.66 | 4.52 | 8 | 0.19 | 1.09 | -2.12 | 4.31 | 34 | 0.07 | 0.92 | -2.67 | 4.51 | 9 | 0.05 | 1.1 | -2.19 | 4.38 | 35 | 0.19 | 0.91 | -2.68 | 4.5 | 10 | 0.07 | 1.1 | -2.25 | 4.44 | 36 | 0.14 | 0.9 | -2.69 | 4.49 | 11 | 0.20 | 1.1 | -2.29 | 4.48 | 37 | 0.29 | 0.89 | -2.71 | 4.48 | 12 | 0.26 | 1.1 | -2.33 | 4.52 | 38 | 0.32 | 0.88 | -2.72 | 4.47 | 13 | 0.16 | 1.09 | -2.36 | 4.55 | 39 | 0.40 | 0.87 | -2.73 | 4.46 | 14 | 0.33 | 1.09 | -2.39 | 4.57 | 40 | 0.18 | 0.85 | -2.74 | 4.45 | 15 | 0.26 | 1.09 | -2.41 | 4.58 | 41 | 0.33 | 0.84 | -2.75 | 4.44 | 16 | 0.21 | 1.08 | -2.43 | 4.59 | 42 | 0.21 | 0.83 | -2.76 | 4.43 | 17 | 0.21 | 1.07 | -2.45 | 4.6 | 43 | 0.29 | 0.82 | -2.77 | 4.41 | 18 | 0.25 | 1.07 | -2.47 | 4.61 | 44 | 0.21 | 0.81 | -2.79 | 4.4 | 19 | 0.24 | 1.06 | -2.49 | 4.61 | 45 | 0.15 | 0.8 | -2.8 | 4.39 | 20 | 0.31 | 1.05 | -2.5 | 4.61 | 46 | 0.19 | 0.79 | -2.81 | 4.38 | 21 | 0.14 | 1.05 | -2.51 | 4.61 | 47 | 0.15 | 0.77 | -2.82 | 4.37 | 22 | 0.12 | 1.04 | -2.53 | 4.6 | 48 | 0.27 | 0.76 | -2.83 | 4.36 | 23 | 0.15 | 1.03 | -2.54 | 4.6 | 49 | 0.28 | 0.75 | -2.84 | 4.35 | 24 | 0.16 | 1.02 | -2.55 | 4.6 | 50 | 0.38 | 0.74 | -2.86 | 4.34 | 25 | 0.08 | 1.01 | -2.57 | 4.59 | 51 | 0.48 | 0.73 | -2.87 | 4.32 | 26 | 0.05 | 1 | -2.58 | 4.58 | 52 | 0.81 | 0.72 | -2.88 | 4.31 |
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