Estimating the Number of COVID-19 Cases and Impact of New COVID-19 Variants and Vaccination on the Population in Kerman, Iran: A Mathematical Modeling Study

Table 2

The estimated number of infected, hospitalized, and deaths to predict COVID-19 cases under three different scenarios from February 29, 2020, to December 31, 2021, in Kerman, Iran.

	Scenario A	Scenario B	Scenario C
Infected cases
Total number (95% UI) until 31 December 2021	1,625,000 (1,112,000–1,898,000)	1,247,000 (815,000–1,583,000)	1,066,000 (686,000–1,347,000)
Hospitalized cases
Total number (95% UI) until 31 December 2021	83,000 (14,000–120,000)	63,000 (11,000–95,000)	55,000 (9,000–82,000)
Deaths
Total number (95% UI) until 31 December 2021	6,700 (5,200–8,700)	5,600 (2,800–8,000)	5,200 (2,000–7,500)

Uncertainty interval.