Research Article

Risk Analysis of Emergency Based on Fuzzy Evidential Reasoning

Table 2

Analysis results of risk attributes (I).

General attributeBasic attributeBeliefMassPrimary result

Key attributeCut slope height(0.5, 0.5, 0, 0, 0)(0.1, 0.1, 0, 0, 0){(FG1, 0.0241), (FG1,2, 0.0136), (FG2, 0.1906), (FG2,3, 0.1742), (FG3, 0.1814), (FG3,4, 0.0258), (FG4, 0.048), (FG4,5, 0.0127), (FG5, 0)}
Bank slope height(0, 0, 1, 0, 0)(0, 0, 0.1, 0, 0)
Special construction conditions(0, 0.5, 0.5, 0, 0)(0, 0.1, 0.1, 0, 0)
Special construction technologies(0.3333, 0.6667, 0, 0, 0)(0.0666, 0.1333, 0, 0, 0)
Deep foundation pit(0.875, 0.125, 0, 0, 0)(0.1750, 0.025, 0, 0, 0)
Existing railway effects(0.0, 0, 1, 0)(0.0, 0, 0.1, 0)
Secondary attributeProject schedule(0, 0, 0, 0.625, 0.375)(0, 0, 0, 0.0625, 0.0375){(FG1, 0.1002), (FG1,2, 0.0106), (FG2, 0.1057), (FG2,3, 0.059), (FG3, 0.1067), (FG3,4, 0.0871), (FG4, 0.1323), (FG4,5, 0.0144), (FG5, 0.1632)}
Function loss(0, 0, 1, 0, 0)(0, 0, 0.05, 0, 0)
Project investment(0, 0, 0.1667, 0.8333, 0)(0, 0, 0.0167, 0.0833, 0)
Environment protect(0.5, 0.5, 0, 0, 0)(0.075, 0.075, 0, 0, 0)
Social status along the project(0, 0, 0, 0.875, 0.125)(0, 0, 0, 0.0438, 0.0625)
Locomotive depot configuration(0.0, 0, 0.6667, 0.3333)(0, 0, 0, 0.0333, 0.0167)
Vehicle configuration(0.0, 0, 0.8889, 0.1111)(0, 0, 0, 0.0444, 0.0056)
Terminal location(0, 0, 0.4286, 0.5714, 0)(0, 0, 0, 0.0214, 0.0286)
Project interface(0, 0, 1, 0, 0)(0, 0, 0.2, 0, 0)
Infrastructure relocation(0, 0.8571, 0.1429, 0, 0, 0)(0, 0.1286, 0.0214, 0, 0)
Residual risk(0, 0, 0, 0, 0)(0, 0, 0, 0, 0)

Environmental attributeWeather condition(0, 0, 1, 0, 0)(0, 0, 0.15, 0, 0){(FG1, 0.1123), (FG1,2, 0.0344), (FG2, 0.1031), (FG2,3, 0.0357), (FG3, 0.1708), (FG3,4, 0.0258), (FG4, 0.0746), (FG4,5, 0.0322), (FG5, 0.0096)}
Underground water(0, 0, 0, 0.3333, 0.6667)(0, 0, 0, 0.0833, 0.1667)
Geological condition(0, 0.25, 0.75, 0, 0)(0, 0.0625, 0.1875, 0, 0)
Staff quality(0.8571, 0.1429, 0, 0, 0)(0.3, 0.05, 0, 0, 0)