Bayesian Computation Methods for Inference in Stochastic Kinetic Models

Table 2

Final MSE for the parameters in the CO and PO experiments, averaged over the simulation runs. The last two columns correspond to the mean and standard deviation (std) values of the global MSE (averaged over the parameters). The prior values are included for comparison.

										mean MSE	std MSE
Prior		6.789	11.344	8.853	7.543	6.789	12.484	8.430	6.789	8.628	0
PO	pMCMC	3.412	3.319	5.543	3.200	7.059	8.929	6.799	4.371	5.329	2.926
	NPMC	1.246	1.011	2.214	1.490	4.073	7.015	2.311	1.856	2.652	1.020
CO	pMCMC	2.899	2.958	1.676	1.572	1.604	1.547	1.573	1.468	1.912	1.476
	NPMC	0.305	0.302	0.162	0.167	0.280	0.280	0.156	0.168	0.228	0.091