Analysis of the Strategic Emission-Based Energy Policies of Developing and Developed Economies with Twin Prediction Model

Table 4

Forecasted values of methane emission (in kt CO₂ equivalent) under the BJ method.

	OECD	Upper middle	Middle	Lower middle	Low
1981
1982
1983					319376.7
1984					310579.6
1985					310981.8
1986	1473936			1441004.78	315518.4
1987	1465419			1417409.14	321913
1988	1463133		4266117	1382263.046	329142.6
1989	1463101		4550070	1680835.125	336747.6
1990	1465166		4698743	1687975.219	344521.2
1991	1455061		4460547	1673579.499	352370.6
1992	1448460		4829691	1652224.65	360254.1
1993	1443127	2830813.3	4863760	1831934.421	368152.9
1994	1438973	2787721.237	5018868	1836056.927	376058.5
1995	1427974	2797124.06	4949627	1827204.142	383967.3
1996	1418946	2850067.461	4958414	1814158.494	391877.4
1997	1410631	2799034.691	5190341	1922253.931	399788.2
1998	1402980	2896911.307	5071963	1924558.345	407699.3
1999	1391478	2774651.862	5146852	1919045.169	415610.4
2000	1381085	2794509.994	5151927	1911005.8	423521.7
2001	1371093	2846196.11	5286403	1975953.725	431432.9
2002	1361474	2937763.268	5375874	1977162.742	439344.2
2003	1349690	3074577.474	5336641	1973661.674	447255.5
2004	1338529	3156682.078	5499459	1968638.58	455166.7
2005	1327594	3287526.848	5550803	2007590.204	463078
2006	1316868	3376330.859	5642415	2008139.246	470989.3
2007	1304925	3430265.209	5659390	2005850.47	478900.6
2008	1293332	3567469.328	5702324	2002644.676	486811.8
2009	1281866	3585418.719	5819492	2025933.573	494723.1
2010	1270519	3779665.03	5820120	2026084.981	502634.4
2011	1258486	3860095.861	5885045	2024526.609	510545.7
2012	1246650	3915037.114	5926743	2022415.735	518457
2013	1234886	3938039.461	6011491	2036267.867	526368.2
2014	1223188	3924805.514	6081267	2036179.702	534279.5
2015	1211105	3955385.988	6108225	2035061.397	542190.8
2016	1199133	3946932.689	6202402	2033610.21	550102.1
2017	1187201	3972147.914	6259494	2041776.707	558013.4
2018	1175306	4025288.658	6329982	2041544.199	565924.6
2019	1163195	4011742.447	6375639	2040691.033	573835.9
2020	1151146	4093701.903	6429933	2039637.307	581747.2
2021	1139119	4034473.204	6508923	2044378.219	589658.5
2022	1127114	4066394.126	6549142	2044058.745	597569.7
2023	1114986	4118728.489	6610752	2043365.326	605481
2024	1102894	4196641.262	6664634	2042551.069	613392.3
2025	1090815	4303574.03	6732839	2045228.071	621303.6
2026	1078747	4375417.828	6796062	2044856.2	629214.9
2027	1066611	4478521.992	6845041	2044259.028	637126.1
2028	1054494	4554662.573	6916382	2043589.051	645037.4
2029	1042385	4608438.88	6975386	2045022.552	652948.7
2030	1030282	4715621.726	7038846	2044619.112	660860
% change from 2012 to 2030	-17.35	20.44	18.76	1.09	27.12