The Influence of Confidence and Social Networks on an Agent-Based Model of Stock Exchange
Table 4
ADF unit root test.
Variable
Deterministic term
Lagged differences
Test statistic
Prices: real data
Dow Jones
Constant
27
−0.073
Constant and trend
27
−3.171
Small caps
Constant
9
−0.689
Constant and trend
9
−4.060()
Large caps
Constant
27
0.805
Constant and trend
27
−2.081
Prices: simulated data
No network effect
Constant
14
−3.120()
Constant and trend
14
−2.845
Barabási
Constant
26
−1.389
Constant and trend
26
−1.915
Random
Constant
17
−1.766
Constant and trend
17
−3.049
Small-world
Constant
17
−1.812
Constant and trend
17
−3.199
Returns: real data
Dow Jones
Constant
12
−16.914()
Constant and trend
12
−16.913()
Small caps (DJ)
Constant
12
−16.450()
Constant and trend
12
−16.455()
Large caps (DJ)
Constant
12
−17.293()
Constant and trend
12
−17.290()
RETURNS: simulated data
No network effect
Constant
5
−5.032()
Constant and trend
5
−5.185()
Barabási
Constant
21
−4.477()
Constant and trend
21
−4.831()
Random
Constant
19
−4.028()
Constant and trend
19
−4.856()
Small-world
Constant
8
−3.446()
Constant and trend
8
−4.593()
Number of lagged differences determined by Akaike information criteria. The symbols and indicate statistical significance at 1% and 5% levels, respectively.