A Back Propagation Neural Network-Based Method for Intelligent Decision-Making

Table 12

Error rate of the model.

Month-year	Actual value	BPNN	Regression	Combine	Error rate (BPNN) (%)	Error rate (regression) (%)	Error rate (combined) (%)
Jan-16	251	236	247	239	−6	−2	−5
Feb-16	235	204	209	205	−13	−11	−13
Mar-16	217	228	228	228	5	5	5
Apr-16	157	140	149	143	−11	−5	−9
May-16	99	91	105	95	−8	6	−4
Jun-16	80	87	99	90	9	24	13
Jul-16	83	93	104	96	12	25	16
Aug-16	90	93	116	100	3	29	11
Sep-16	95	87	104	92	−8	9	−3
Oct-16	149	126	115	123	−15	−23	−18
Nov-16	199	170	168	169	−15	−16	−15
Dec-16	256	219	221	220	−14	−14	−14
Jan-17	245	210	218	212	−14	−11	−13
Feb-17	222	220	226	222	−1	2	0
Mar-17	195	204	205	204	5	5	5
Apr-17	140	149	159	152	6	14	9
May-17	90	89	102	93	−1	13	3
Jun-17	84	88	107	94	5	27	11
Jul-17	86	93	110	98	8	28	14
Aug-17	137	141	146	142	3	7	4
Sep-17	144	156	161	157	8	12	9
Oct-17	145	132	141	135	−9	−3	−7
Nov-17	194	167	173	169	−14	−11	−13
Dec-17	245	241	245	242	−2	0	−1