Research Article
Advantages of Combining Factorization Machine with Elman Neural Network for Volatility Forecasting of Stock Market
Table 6
Trend-type forecasting evaluation of the FM-Elman (
) model as threshold value
varies.
| Evaluation errors | S&P 500 | DJIA | DS | CP | CD | DS | CP | CD |
| | 48.662 | 52.7473 | 43.8445 | 49.1576 | 52.3985 | 45.3961 | | 48.5199 | 52.1327 | 44.2254 | 49.2063 | 52.451 | 45.4023 | | 51.1111 | 52.9412 | 49.1039 | 47.6103 | 48.9362 | 46.1832 | | 49.011 | 50 | 47.9821 | 47.0998 | 47.7273 | 46.4455 | | 43.7143 | 43.9306 | 43.5028 | 43.1193 | 44.6429 | 41.5094 | Evaluation errors | SSEC | SZI | DS | CP | CD | DS | CP | CD | | 50 | 51.8987 | 50.9221 | 51.1879 | 53.2164 | 52.2541 | | 50.4459 | 50.646 | 50.2513 | 51.335 | 51.7677 | 50.9346 | | 51.0109 | 50.641 | 51.3595 | 52.1802 | 52.439 | 51.9444 | | 52.1154 | 52.5097 | 51.7241 | 52.847 | 53.7037 | 52.0548 | | 51.3382 | 50.2538 | 52.3364 | 50.211 | 53.7778 | 51.9481 |
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