Research Article

Research on the Influence of Volatility of International Energy Commodity Futures Market on CPI in China

Table 6

The goodness of fit and prediction accuracy of RJ/CRB and coal.

Weight functionThe goodness of fit and prediction accuracy
Lag = 13Lag = 22Lag = 36

MSFER20.83890.83030.8320
RMSE0.53460.56440.5552
MSFE0.28580.31860.3083

DMSFER20.83730.83150.8273
RMSE0.53590.56910.5539
MSFE0.28720.32380.3068

AICR20.77360.76810.8225
RMSE0.58210.55850.5346
MSFE0.33880.31200.2858

BICR20.77360.79770.8225
RMSE0.58210.54720.5346
MSFE0.33880.29950.2858

Equal weightR20.83800.83380.8387
RMSE0.53530.57570.5597
MSFE0.28650.33140.3133