Research Article
Research on the Influence of Volatility of International Energy Commodity Futures Market on CPI in China
Table 6
The goodness of fit and prediction accuracy of RJ/CRB and coal.
| Weight function | The goodness of fit and prediction accuracy | | Lag = 13 | Lag = 22 | Lag = 36 |
| MSFE | R2 | 0.8389 | 0.8303 | 0.8320 | RMSE | 0.5346 | 0.5644 | 0.5552 | MSFE | 0.2858 | 0.3186 | 0.3083 |
| DMSFE | R2 | 0.8373 | 0.8315 | 0.8273 | RMSE | 0.5359 | 0.5691 | 0.5539 | MSFE | 0.2872 | 0.3238 | 0.3068 |
| AIC | R2 | 0.7736 | 0.7681 | 0.8225 | RMSE | 0.5821 | 0.5585 | 0.5346 | MSFE | 0.3388 | 0.3120 | 0.2858 |
| BIC | R2 | 0.7736 | 0.7977 | 0.8225 | RMSE | 0.5821 | 0.5472 | 0.5346 | MSFE | 0.3388 | 0.2995 | 0.2858 |
| Equal weight | R2 | 0.8380 | 0.8338 | 0.8387 | RMSE | 0.5353 | 0.5757 | 0.5597 | MSFE | 0.2865 | 0.3314 | 0.3133 |
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