Very Short-Term Blackout Prediction for Grid-Tied PV Systems Operating in Low Reliability Weak Electric Grids of Developing Countries

Table 2

Overall blackout forecast classification performance.

Forecast horizon	Classifier model	Accuracy score (%)	Blackout sensitivity (recall)	Blackout precision (%)	F1 score (%)
15 minutes ahead	RF	92.4	32.2	66.4	43.4
	ASD	90.6	46.6	48.6	47.6
	RF-ASD	90.2	49.2	46.3	47.7
Hour-ahead	RF	88.4	17.0	52.1	25.6
	ASD	87.3	45.7	45.8	45.7
	RF-ASD	86.8	47.2	44.3	45.7
24 hrs ahead	RF	62.0	67.8	19.4	30.2
	ASD	85.0	38.0	36.6	37.3
	RF-ASD	60.9	73.4	19.4	30.7