Very Short-Term Blackout Prediction for Grid-Tied PV Systems Operating in Low Reliability Weak Electric Grids of Developing Countries

Table 3

Overall performance for blackout forecast regression models.

Forecast horizon	Regression model	MAE	RMSE
15 minutes ahead	RF	0.253	0.333
	ASD	0.251	0.325
	RF-ASD	0.253	0.329
Hour-ahead	RF	0.169	0.298
	ASD	0.203	0.323
	RF-ASD	0.185	0.296
24 hrs ahead	RF	0.268	0.431
	ASD	0.254	0.409
	RF-ASD	0.258	0.418