Research Article

The Hesitation of Anxious Traders in an Agent-Based Model

Table 9

Price deviations and momentum strengths after calibration. Note: This table reports the price deviations and momentum strengths after the model parameters are calibrated. In light of Recchioni et al. [124], the initial asset price and initial fundamental price in the calibration are equal to the first weekly observation of the S&P500 in 2021. We calculate the deviations in asset prices from their fundamentals and momentum strengths for both the rational and irrational scenarios. The magnitude of behavioral hesitation and decision rigidity of the anxious agent is denoted by d. When d equals 1, the anxious agent does not embody hesitation. The anxious agent begins to exhibit hesitation when d equals 2 or is even higher than 2. The upper bounds for the irrational circumstances are 0.1, 0.2, and 0.5, respectively.

DeviationsMomentum strength
dMeant (mean)Meant (mean)
Panel A: evolutions in the rational scenario
11937.72213.149−0.002−0.084
21909.50613.899−0.002−0.147
31949.29814.519−0.003−0.165
41959.17814.331−0.002−0.125
52011.46213.725−0.003−0.181

Panel B: evolutions in the irrational scenario ( )
11887.49814.488−0.001−0.085
21940.96814.247−0.002−0.109
31934.55014.409−0.002−0.121
41898.37614.271−0.002−0.132
51975.84813.646−0.004−0.198

Panel C: evolutions in the irrational scenario ( )
11873.44014.463−0.001−0.086
21909.52114.353−0.002−0.131
31929.63014.477−0.002−0.145
41874.88914.088−0.002−0.156
51982.34413.170−0.003−0.187

Panel D: evolutions in the irrational scenario ( )
11833.25214.117−0.001−0.077
21902.28313.427−0.001−0.092
31922.03214.708−0.002−0.140
41908.59614.426−0.002−0.162
51943.68912.876−0.003−0.179