Research Article
Deep Echo State Network with Variable Memory Pattern for Solar Irradiance Prediction
Table 3
RMSE, nRMSE, MAE, and MAPE versus delayed time for evaluation period II at Seeley station.
| Seeley | Model | Parameter | RMSE | nRMSE | MAE | MAPE |
| VMP-ESN | | 109.756 | 0.0696 | 80.639 | 0.0662 | | 77.474 | 0.0491 | 54.972 | 0.0442 | | 72.403 | 0.0459 | 48.903 | 0.0389 | | 77.188 | 0.0489 | 55.261 | 0.0444 | | 129.548 | 0.0821 | 96.560 | 0.0807 |
| VMP1-DESN | | 84.499 | 0.0536 | 61.642 | 0.0495 | | 73.313 | 0.0465 | 53.647 | 0.0421 | | 67.390 | 0.0427 | 46.639 | 0.0360 | | 75.011 | 0.0476 | 54.490 | 0.0425 | | 125.346 | 0.0795 | 103.069 | 0.0813 |
| VMP2-DESN | | 78.260 | 0.0496 | 57.778 | 0.0458 | | 74.674 | 0.0473 | 53.797 | 0.0425 | | 73.375 | 0.0465 | 51.799 | 0.0409 | | 70.243 | 0.0445 | 49.499 | 0.0385 | | 67.909 | 0.0431 | 46.905 | 0.0364 | | 67.425 | 0.0427 | 46.508 | 0.0357 | | 65.608 | 0.0416 | 44.645 | 0.0342 | | 65.686 | 0.0416 | 43.829 | 0.0333 | | 69.991 | 0.0444 | 46.500 | 0.0349 | | 78.880 | 0.0500 | 56.207 | 0.0437 |
| VMP3-DESN | | 78.260 | 0.0496 | 57.778 | 0.0458 | | 69.917 | 0.0443 | 49.495 | 0.0386 | | 65.952 | 0.0418 | 44.736 | 0.0342 | | 74.159 | 0.0470 | 53.202 | 0.0416 | | 125.869 | 0.0798 | 101.536 | 0.0812 |
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