Prediction after a Horizon of Predictability: Nonpredictable Points and Partial Multistep Prediction for Chaotic Time Series

Table 5

Abbreviations for the methods to calculate the unified prediction value.

avg	Average. Averaging the set of possible prediction values or trajectories
wavgl	Weighted average, length. Averaging the set of possible prediction values or trajectories with weights being determined by a prediction length
wavgd	Weighted average, distance. Averaging the set of possible prediction values or trajectories with weights being determined by a distance to the cluster center
wavgc	Weighted average, combined. Averaging the set of possible forecast values or trajectories with weights being a product of the two previous approaches
clc	Center of the largest cluster. Choosing the center of the largest cluster of the set of possible predicted values
mf	Most frequent. Choosing the most frequently observed value in the set of possible predicted values
mfp	Most frequent, perturbed. Choosing a randomly perturbed most frequently observed value in the set of possible predicted values
trjp	Trajectory, perturbed. Perturbed average of the last points of a predicted trajectory