Research Article
Development of a Financing Optimization Framework Based on Risk Simulation in BOT Projects: A Case Study of the Waste-to-Energy Project
| Ref | Risk | Objectives | Uncertainty in variables | Financing | Method | Case study | Qualitative | Quantitative |
| Davies et al. [9] | | — | Identifying factors of risk | — | — | Logistic regression analysis | Sewer’s structural condition | Bing et al. [13] | | — | Risk allocation | — | — | Questionnaire | UK construction projects | Song et al. [15] | | — | Operation period | | — | Fuzzy model + system dynamics | Waste-to-energy project | Ma et al. [16] | | — | Operation period | — | — | Real-option analysis | Water treatment plant project | Digiesi et al. [17] | | — | Reducing the exposure risk | — | — | MINLP model | NE | Aladag and IsiK [18] | | — | Evaluating construction risks | | — | Fuzzy analytical hierarchy process | A transportation project | Sato et al. [19] | — | | Quantitative risk analysis | | — | Monte Carlo simulation | Road projects in Japan | Platon and Constantinescu [20] | — | | Internal rate or the return | | — | Monte Carlo simulation | An investment project | Au and Hendrickson [23] | — | — | Profit | — | Included | A rational framework | NE | Elazouni and Metwally [25] | — | — | Profit | — | Included | An improved GA | NE | Ahmed [27] | — | — | Cash flow model | | Included | Monte Carlo simulation | NE | Elazouni and Gab-Allah [28] | — | — | Finance-based scheduling | — | Included | Integer programming | Small NE | Alavipour and Arditi [31] | — | — | Financing cost | — | Included | LP | Small NE | Alavipour and Arditi [32] | — | — | Time-cost trade-off | | Included | Hybrid GALP | Small NE | Elghaish et al. [33] | — | — | Cost estimation | | — | Monte Carlo simulation | A real construction project | This research | | | Financing cost considering risk impacts | | Included | Monte Carlo simulation + hybrid GA-SFL | Real waste-to-energy project |
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