Research Article

Development of a Financing Optimization Framework Based on Risk Simulation in BOT Projects: A Case Study of the Waste-to-Energy Project

Table 1

Survey of related works.

RefRiskObjectivesUncertainty in variablesFinancingMethodCase study
QualitativeQuantitative

Davies et al. [9]Identifying factors of riskLogistic regression analysisSewer’s structural condition
Bing et al. [13]Risk allocationQuestionnaireUK construction projects
Song et al. [15]Operation periodFuzzy model + system dynamicsWaste-to-energy project
Ma et al. [16]Operation periodReal-option analysisWater treatment plant project
Digiesi et al. [17]Reducing the exposure riskMINLP modelNE
Aladag and IsiK [18]Evaluating construction risksFuzzy analytical hierarchy processA transportation project
Sato et al. [19]Quantitative risk analysisMonte Carlo simulationRoad projects in Japan
Platon and Constantinescu [20]Internal rate or the returnMonte Carlo simulationAn investment project
Au and Hendrickson [23]ProfitIncludedA rational frameworkNE
Elazouni and Metwally [25]ProfitIncludedAn improved GANE
Ahmed [27]Cash flow modelIncludedMonte Carlo simulationNE
Elazouni and Gab-Allah [28]Finance-based schedulingIncludedInteger programmingSmall NE
Alavipour and Arditi [31]Financing costIncludedLPSmall NE
Alavipour and Arditi [32]Time-cost trade-offIncludedHybrid GALPSmall NE
Elghaish et al. [33]Cost estimationMonte Carlo simulationA real construction project
This researchFinancing cost considering risk impactsIncludedMonte Carlo simulation + hybrid GA-SFLReal waste-to-energy project