Development of a Financing Optimization Framework Based on Risk Simulation in BOT Projects: A Case Study of the Waste-to-Energy Project

Table 11

Project implementation time and cost at 50%, 70%, and 90% confidence levels.

Item	Initial estimate	Confidence level
		50%	70%	90%
Construction period time (days)	1,095	1,450	1,490	1,540
Construction period cost (billion tomans)	510	582	592	606
Operation period cost (billion tomans)	1,700	1,819	2,213	2,949
Total cost (billion tomans)	2,210	2,400	2,795	3,526