Research Article

Individual-Level Prediction of Exposure Therapy Outcome Using Structural and Functional MRI Data in Spider Phobia: A Machine-Learning Study

Table 2

Prediction results of the 1st-level classifiers of posttreatment response ( responders vs. nonresponders).

1st-level classifierBalanced accuracy (SD)AUROC (SD)

Functional features extracted from a priori selected 30 ROIs
 Demographic and questionnaire data0.60 (0.07)0.64 (0.08)
 Structural MRI0.51 (0.07)0.51 (0.08)
 Functional activation0.48 (0.08)0.48 (0.09)
 Phasic fear gPPI0.52 (0.06)0.53 (0.08)
 Sustained fear gPPI0.51 (0.06)0.55 (0.08)
 Phasic fear graph measures0.52 (0.07)0.54 (0.08)
 Sustained fear graph measures0.54 (0.07)0.56 (0.09)
 BOLD variance0.55 (0.07)0.59 (0.08)
Functional features extracted from ROIs across the whole brain (exploratory)
 Demographic and questionnaire data0.60 (0.07)0.64 (0.08)
 Structural MRI0.51 (0.07)0.51 (0.08)
 Functional activation0.51 (0.06)0.52 (0.08)
 Phasic fear gPPI0.49 (0.05)0.49 (0.10)
 Sustained fear gPPI0.49 (0.05)0.49 (0.09)
 Phasic fear graph measures0.48 (0.06)0.50 (0.07)
 Sustained fear graph measures0.47 (0.06)0.49 (0.08)
 BOLD variance0.63 (0.07)0.67 (0.08)

ROI: region of interest; AUROC: area under the receiving operator curve; gPPI: generalized psychophysiological interaction. , corrected resampled -test against the accuracy of a dummy classifier, two-tailed.