Research Article

System Dynamics Simulation of Large-Scale Generation System for Designing Wind Power Policy in China

Table 1

Variables in the system model.

VariableFull nameExplanation Equation

AWEGAvailable wind energy generation (MWh)The obtainable wind energy generation based on wind speed and system capacity of wind energy 1
WSWind speed (m/h)Data about wind speed and it is expressed as a Table function (a)
WEGWind energy generation (MWh) Wind power generation accepted by the grid2
IWEPIncome of wind energy production (Yuan)Depending on benchmark price of wind energy, wind energy generation, new incremental capacity, and system capacity 3
CWEPCost of wind energy production (Yuan) Including construction cost, incremental investment cost, and reserve cost 4
CCConstruction cost (Yuan/MW)Construction cost on wind power transmission and so on 5
IICIncremental investment cost (Yuan/MW) Investment cost on incremental capacity of wind power6
Wind energy subsystemRCReserve cost (Yuan/MW)Reserve cost of system management for compensating for the volatility of wind energy 7
PRWP Profit rate of wind power (%) Unit profits of wind power generation 8
ICWP Incremental capacity of wind power (MW) Incremental capacity compared with that in the past 9
IRWEC Investment rate of wind energy capacity (MW)Increased wind energy capacity in a period of time which is related to the profit rate of wind power, capacity investment plan, and portfolio goal 10
CRWEC Cancellation rate of wind energy capacity (MW) The abandoned capacity of wind power in a period of time due to equipment maintenance and other reasons11
WPSC Wind power system capacity (MW) Depending on the investment rate and cancellation rate of wind energy capacity 12
WEU Wind energy utilization (%) The proportion of wind energy generation to the total available wind energy generation13
BP Benchmark price (Yuan/kWh) The four kinds of wind power generation prices (b)

THG Thermal power generation (MWh)Difference between electricity demand and a total of wind power generation and hydropower generation14
ED Electricity demand (MWh)Electricity demand is expressed as a Table function(c)
HYG Hydropower generation (MWh)Relevant to the system capacity of hydropower and seasonal variation of water flow15
SVWF Seasonal variation of water flow (m3)The amount of water changes with the seasons and it is expressed as a Table function(d)
Conventional energy subsystemHYSC Hydropower system capacity (MW)Associated with the investment rate and cancellation rate of hydropower capacity16
IRHYC Investment rate of hydropower capacity (MW)Increased hydropower capacity in a period of time and that has a relationship with system capacity and the capacity investment plan17
CRHYC Cancellation rate of hydropower capacity (MW)The abandoned capacity for some time due to equipment maintenance and other reasons18
THSC Thermal power system capacity (MW)Relative to the investment rate and cancellation rate of thermal power capacity19
IRTHC Investment rate of thermal power capacity (MW)Increased thermal power capacity for some time and that has a relationship with system capacity and the capacity investment plan20
CRTHC Cancellation rate of thermal power capacity (MW)The abandoned capacity in a period of time due to equipment maintenance and other reasons21

PG Portfolio goal (%)The goal of proportion of wind power generation to the total power generation 22
CP Calculated portfolio (%)The actual proportion of wind power generation to the total power generation23
SEC System equivalent capacity (MW)Valid system capacity of wind power, thermal power, and hydropower24
Policy adjusting subsystemCG Capacity gap (MW)The difference between demand capacity and the system equivalent capacity25
CIP Capacity investment plan (MW)Related to capacity gap 26
CD Capacity demand (MW)Demand on capacity which can be expressed as a Table function(e)
SRC System regulation capability (%)The ratio of wind power generation to hydropower generation which is used to adjust wind power27

Notes: (a) Source is thematic database for human-earth system in China, http://www.data.ac.cn/index.asp (accessed June 8, 2012); (b) Source is National Development and Reform Commission of China, http://www.gov.cn/zwgk/2009-07/27/content_1376064.htm (accessed July 24, 2009); (c) Source is the report on electricity industry market research and investment analysis 2013; (d) Source is the report on situation and forecast of hydropower industry in China 2011; (e) Source is China’s Twelfth Five Year plan on electricity industry 2011. And variables (a), (c), (d) and (e) are expressed as Table functions considering the nonlinear relationships with time.