Research Article

Research on the Value at Risk of Basis for Stock Index Futures Hedging in China Based on Two-State Markov Process and Semiparametric RS-GARCH Model

Table 5

The steady-state probability and state transition probability of basis sequences for stock index futures.

Stock index futuresProbability
PQ

CSI 3000.7660.2340.8270.435

SSE 500.8350.1650.9070.532

CSI 5000.7650.2350.7880.307