Forecast of China’s Carbon Emissions Based on ARIMA Method

<table class="table-group" id="tab5"><tr><td><table class="table"><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="5"><hr/></td></tr><tr class="thead"><td class="align_left">Variables</td><td class="align_center">ADF values</td><td class="align_center">5% threshold</td><td class="align_center"><span class="nowrap"><svg height="10.2124pt" id="M80" style="vertical-align:-3.42943pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -6.78297 7.83752 10.2124" width="7.83752pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M570 304C570 398 525 448 414 448C385 448 343 445 312 434L329 511L321 518C297 504 262 482 244 460L233 411C195 397 159 381 128 358L135 332C160 347 189 360 224 373L111 -147C97 -210 84 -218 17 -231L13 -257L254 -247L259 -218L233 -216C183 -212 177 -202 189 -142L218 -1C238 -10 266 -12 283 -12C351 3 429 48 483 105C543 168 570 242 570 304ZM482 289C482 161 380 33 304 33C278 33 248 51 233 69L303 396C326 400 352 403 369 403C428 403 482 380 482 289Z"></path></g></svg>-</span>value</td><td class="align_center">Stability</td></tr><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="5"><hr/></td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 10.905ptpx;"><svg height="11.927pt" id="M81" style="vertical-align:-3.291101pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 10.905 11.927" width="10.905pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M640 650H413L406 622L438 617C475 611 483 605 463 571C422 503 346 400 296 333C264 403 215 529 199 575C189 604 191 614 228 618L262 622L271 650H30L23 622C90 615 97 609 119 553L212 321C222 295 223 285 218 259L193 127C176 39 167 33 82 28L76 0H350L356 28C266 36 257 40 275 127L303 266C308 290 314 302 328 322C396 418 454 493 498 546C551 610 565 616 631 622L640 650Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,7.111,3.132)"><path d="M329 433H203L239 587L230 596L147 534L123 433H57L30 395L34 388H115L61 129C37 16 59 -12 85 -12C147 -12 222 58 260 98L241 125C212 95 160 62 144 62C132 62 127 71 138 126L192 386L305 394L329 433Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">−5.087783</td><td class="align_center">−3.052169</td><td class="align_center">0.0009</td><td class="align_center">Stationary</td></tr><tr class="table-tr"><td colspan="5"><hr class="tbody-hr"/></td></tr></table></td></tr></table>

<div>Unit root test results for the second-ordered difference series <svg height="11.927pt" id="M79" style="vertical-align:-3.291101pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 10.905 11.927" width="10.905pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M640 650H413L406 622L438 617C475 611 483 605 463 571C422 503 346 400 296 333C264 403 215 529 199 575C189 604 191 614 228 618L262 622L271 650H30L23 622C90 615 97 609 119 553L212 321C222 295 223 285 218 259L193 127C176 39 167 33 82 28L76 0H350L356 28C266 36 257 40 275 127L303 266C308 290 314 302 328 322C396 418 454 493 498 546C551 610 565 616 631 622L640 650Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,7.111,3.132)"><path d="M329 433H203L239 587L230 596L147 534L123 433H57L30 395L34 388H115L61 129C37 16 59 -12 85 -12C147 -12 222 58 260 98L241 125C212 95 160 62 144 62C132 62 127 71 138 126L192 386L305 394L329 433Z"></path></g></svg> of carbon emissions in Henan Province.</div>

Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society

Forecast of China’s Carbon Emissions Based on ARIMA Method

Table 5