|
| Decision maker | Desirability | Favorable situation | Explain |
|
| Iran | 1 | (- - - - Y - - -) | Afghanistan agrees to conclude a treaty dividing the water rights |
| 2 | (- NY–Y - - -) | If Afghanistan agrees to the treaty, Iran will only provide Afghanistan with incentives |
| 3 | (- YY–N - - -) | If Afghanistan does not agree to the treaty, Iran will apply political and covert pressure on Afghanistan as well as providing incentives. Pressure does not include serious economic and military action. |
| 4 | (Y - - - - - - -) | Iran gives up its water rights from the Harirud river and finds another way to meet its water needs |
| 5 | (- - - - Y–NY) | If Afghanistan agrees to the treaty, Turkmenistan will only provide Afghanistan with incentives |
| 6 | (- - - - N–YY) | If Afghanistan does not agree to the treaty, Turkmenistan will apply economic pressure to Afghanistan as well as providing incentives. |
| 7 | (- - - - - Y - -) | Turkmenistan gives up its water rights from the harirud river and finds another way to meet its water needs |
|
| Afghanistan | 1 | (- - - Y - - - -) | Afghanistan unilaterally utilizes and increases its water rights from the harirud river |
| 2 | (- N - - - - - -) | Iran does not apply economic and military pressure on Afghanistan |
| 3 | (- - Y - - - - -) | Iran keeps providing Afghanistan with incentives |
| 4 | (Y - - - - - - -) | Iran withdraws its claim to the Harirud river water rights |
| 5 | (- - - - - - N -) | Turkmenistan not to apply economic pressure on Afghanistan (stopping electricity and energy exports) |
| 6 | (- - - - - - - Y) | Turkmenistan keeps providing Afghanistan with incentives (exporting electricity and energy) |
| 7 | (- - - - - Y - -) | Turkmenistan withdraws its claim to the Harirud river water rights |
|
| Turkmenistan | 1 | (- - - - Y - - -) | Afghanistan agrees to conclude a treaty dividing the water rights |
| 2 | (- - - - - - NY) | Turkmenistan only provides incentives to Afghanistan and refrains from applying pressure |
| 3 | (- Y - - - - - -) | Iran applies economic and military pressure on Afghanistan to make this country agree to a water treaty |
| 4 | (- - - - - Y- -) | Turkmenistan gives up its water rights from the Harirud river and finds another way to meet its water needs |
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