Research Article

Asymmetry in the Prediction of Cojumps on Volatility and Its Reversal

Table 8

Results of parameter estimation of HAR-WRVH-JCOV-SJCOV-D model.


MJSJS0.4075 (8.2102)0.4884 (10.2240)−1.1042 (−2.5731)0.4088 (3.7466)−1.7641 (−1.2639)8.4623 (3.5694)76.5976.20
MJSJF0.2538 (5.6012)0.6433 (13.9344)−0.8553 (−1.9428)0.3966 (2.3721)−2.7839 (−1.3210)10.2756 (4.5565)72.9172.31
MJSJMA0.4968 (12.4562)0.3929 (9.5774)−0.2693 (−0.7230)0.3153 (1.9903)1.3712 (0.6949)7.1215 (3.3952)73.9373.64
MJSJEL0.4764 (10.1889)0.4144 (9.2588)−1.7519 (−3.8817)0.1772 (1.2962)0.0356 (0.0171)6.6605 (3.3494)74.6574.31
MJSJFI0.3635 (8.0640)0.5265 (11.6744)−0.7717 (−1.9038)0.4802 (4.4605)−0.4129 (−0.2143)11.8221 (4.5098)73.5873.19
MJSJEN0.4178 (8.2299)0.4570 (9.6344)−0.9490 (−2.5945)0.4334 (3.4521)1.9323 (0.9987)5.9543 (2.8473)71.4871.28
MJSJCO0.4532 (89462)0.4221 (8.4206)−1.4429 (−3.5124)0.1834 (1.0723)2, 1721 (1.4491)7.7883 (3.8071)71.4771.17
MJSJME0.4616 (9.6030)0.4417 (9.5387)−1.5962 (−3.4094)0.4531 (2.3820)−1.0869 (−0.3929)6.3769 (2.0161)75.2475.09

Note: MSJS and MSJF represent the HAR-RV-SJCOV-D models for the CSI 300 stock and futures index, respectively; MSJMA, MSJEL, MSJFI, MSJEN, MSJCO, and MSJME represent the HAR-RV-SJCOV-D model of material, telecommunication, financial, energy, consumption, and medicine, respectively. denotes the HAR-RV model’s adjusted goodness of fit, and , , and represent significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.