The Validity of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Approach to Forecast the Spread of COVID-19 Pandemic in Africa

Table 3

The prediction epidemic results of the new COVID-19 in Africa for the next month as predicted by the ARIMA (3, 1, 4) model.

Date	Expected cases	Date	Expected cases
17/9/20	7256	2/10/2020	5800
18/9/20	7382	3/10/2020	5804
19/9/20	7127	4/10/2020	5478
20/9/20	648	5/10/2020	5070
21/9/20	5779	6/10/2020	4884
22/9/20	5382	7/10/2020	5051
23/9/20	5460	8/10/2020	5438
24/9/20	5838	9/10/2020	5758
25/9/20	6142	10/10/2020	5783
26/9/20	6082	11/10/2020	5513
27/9/20	5658	12/10/2020	5167
28/9/20	5151	13/10/2020	5015
29/9/20	4901	14/10/2020	5173
30/9/20	5057	15/10/2020	5526
01/10/20	5465	16/10/2020	5819

Source: own computation, 2021.